Daily Analysis For WTI Crude (US Oil) 26-04-2023

Daily Analysis For WTI Crude (US Oil) 26-04-2023

WTI Crude Oil (US Oil) Analysis
WTI Crude Oil (US Oil)
Economic Events and Scenario for WTI Crude Oil (US Oil)
Economic Events: -
GMTEventImpactCurrency
02:30(Australia) RBA Trimmed Mean CPI QoQHighAUD
02:30(Australia) RBA Weighted Median CPI YoYHighAUD
02:30(Australia) RBA Weighted Median CPI QoQHighAUD
02:30(Australia) Inflation Rate QoQMediumAUD
02:30(Australia) Inflation Rate YoYHighAUD
02:30(Australia) RBA Trimmed Mean CPI YoYHighAUD
02:30(Australia) CPIHighAUD
02:30(Australia) Monthly CPI IndicatorHighAUD
04:00(New Zealand) Credit Card Spending YoYLowNZD
04:35(Japan) 2-Year JGB AuctionLowJPY
05:30(Netherlands) Retail Sales YoYLowEUR
06:00(Finland) Unemployment RateLowEUR
07:00(Germany) GfK Consumer ConfidenceHighEUR
07:45(France) Consumer ConfidenceMediumEUR
08:30(Euro Area) ECB Enria SpeechLowEUR
09:00(Austria) Bank Austria Manufacturing PMIHighEUR
09:00(Switzerland) Economic Sentiment IndexLowCHF
09:30(United Kingdom) Labour Productivity QoQLowGBP
09:30(Slovenia) Retail Sales YoYLowEUR
09:30(Slovenia) Retail Sales MoMLowEUR
10:10(Italy) 6-Month BOT AuctionLowEUR
10:20(Euro Area) ECB Jochnick SpeechLowEUR
10:30(Germany) 15-Year Bund AuctionLowEUR
11:00(Luxembourg) Balance of TradeLowEUR
11:00(France) Jobseekers TotalLowEUR
11:00(France) Unemployment Benefit ClaimsMediumEUR
11:00(United Kingdom) CBI Distributive TradesMediumGBP
12:00(United States) MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateMediumUSD
12:00(United States) MBA Mortgage ApplicationsLowUSD
12:00(United States) MBA Mortgage Refinance IndexLowUSD
12:00(United States) MBA Mortgage Market IndexLowUSD
12:00(United States) MBA Purchase IndexLowUSD
13:00(Euro Area) ECB Guindos SpeechHighEUR
13:30(Canada) Manufacturing Sales MoMLowCAD
13:30(United States) Wholesale Inventories MoMMediumUSD
13:30(United States) Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoMMediumUSD
13:30(United States) Goods Trade BalanceHighUSD
13:30(United States) Non Defense Goods Orders Ex AirLowUSD
13:30(United States) Durable Goods Orders MoMHighUSD
13:30(United States) Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoMHighUSD
13:30(United States) Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoMHighUSD
14:45(Euro Area) ECB Tuominen SpeechLowEUR
15:30(United States) EIA Refinery Crude Runs ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Crude Oil Stocks ChangeMediumUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Distillate Stocks ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Heating Oil Stocks ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Gasoline Production ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Crude Oil Imports ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Gasoline Stocks ChangeMediumUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Distillate Fuel Production ChangeLowUSD
16:30(United States) 2-Year FRN AuctionLowUSD
16:30(United States) 17-Week Bill AuctionLowUSD
17:00(Canada) 30-Year Bond AuctionLowCAD
18:00(United States) 5-Year Note AuctionLowUSD
18:30(Canada) BoC Summary of DeliberationsMediumCAD
Today's Scenario: - WTI crude oil is recovering from its biggest daily loss in a week and trading around $77.50 in the European session on Wednesday. The market sentiment has improved as investors await key US data and the weekly official oil inventory numbers. Additionally, the possibility of production cuts from key refiners due to lower demand is providing support to the rebound. The surprise draw in the oil inventories, as reported by the American Petroleum Institute (API) on Tuesday, is also boosting the recovery in WTI crude oil.
Buy Scenario: - The current 100-day moving average level of approximately $76.90 is preventing WTI crude oil from dropping in the short-term. However, the bullish sentiment is still tentative unless the price remains below the recent low of around $79.50 from earlier this month. Till we do not advise to buy in WTI US oil.
Selling Scenario: - From a daily technical perspective, WTI Oil is currently trading above its daily pivot at $73.89, but below the R1 level at $82.53. The long-term technical indicators suggest an upward move, but the short-term outlook indicates a potential for weakness.
If the price can maintain momentum and move above the R1 level at $82.53, it would indicate that buying pressure is increasing, potentially leading to a further acceleration to the upside. On the other hand, if the price falls below the R1 level, it would indicate that short-term selling pressure is gaining momentum, with the pivot at $73.89 as the next major support level. Till we did not advise to sell WTI Crude oil.
Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 76.02-R1 78.57
S2 74.97-R2 80.07
S3 73.47-R3 81.12

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