Daily Analysis For WTI Crude (US Oil) 24-04-2023

Daily Analysis For WTI Crude (US Oil) 24-04-2023

WTI Crude Oil (US Oil) Analysis
WTI Crude Oil (US Oil)
Economic Events and Scenario for WTI Crude Oil (US Oil)
Economic Events: -
GMTEventImpactCurrency
06:00(Finland) PPI YoYLowEUR
06:00(Finland) Export Prices YoYLowEUR
06:00(Finland) Import Prices YoYLowEUR
07:00(Lithuania) Industrial Production YoYLowEUR
07:00(Lithuania) Industrial Production MoMLowEUR
09:00(Germany) Ifo Current ConditionsLowEUR
09:00(Germany) Ifo ExpectationsLowEUR
09:00(Germany) Ifo Business ClimateHighEUR
09:00(Switzerland) Myfxbook USDCHF SentimentMediumCHF
09:00(Australia) Myfxbook AUDUSD SentimentMediumAUD
09:00(Japan) Myfxbook USDJPY SentimentMediumJPY
09:00(European Union) Myfxbook EURUSD SentimentMediumEUR
09:00(United Kingdom) Myfxbook GBPUSD SentimentMediumGBP
09:00(Canada) Myfxbook USDCAD SentimentMediumCAD
09:00(New Zealand) Myfxbook NZDUSD SentimentMediumNZD
09:30(Slovenia) Business ConfidenceLowEUR
13:30(Canada) New Housing Price Index MoMMediumCAD
13:30(Canada) New Housing Price Index YoYMediumCAD
13:30(United States) Chicago Fed National Activity IndexMediumUSD
13:30(Canada) Wholesale Sales MoMLowCAD
14:00(Belgium) Business ConfidenceLowEUR
14:00(France) 3-Month BTF AuctionLowEUR
14:00(France) 12-Month BTF AuctionLowEUR
14:00(France) 6-Month BTF AuctionLowEUR
15:30(United States) Dallas Fed Manufacturing IndexMediumUSD
16:30(United States) 3-Month Bill AuctionLowUSD
16:30(United States) 6-Month Bill AuctionLowUSD
17:00(Canada) 3-Year Bond AuctionLowCAD
18:00(El Salvador) Balance of TradeLowUSD

Today's Scenario: - The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures on NYMEX are currently displaying a contraction in volatility around the $77.60 level during the Asian session. The oil price has seen a moderate recovery after dropping to nearly $76.70, but it is struggling to extend its rebound further. Investors are concerned that additional interest rate hikes by Western central banks to combat persistent inflation could significantly harm oil demand.

Buy Scenario: - Looking at the daily technical analysis, a confident breakthrough above the April 03 low at $79.00 will propel the oil price towards the April 04 high at $81.80 and April 12 high at $83.40. Till we do not advise to buy in WTI US oil.

Selling Scenario: - The oil price experienced a sharp decline when it broke below the critical support level established from the April 03 low of $79.00, which has now become a resistance level for buyers. The downward trend in the price of crude oil is expected to wipe out all the gains made after the unexpected announcement of production cuts by OPEC+.
Currently, the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $77.88 is acting as a barrier for the oil bulls. Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is projected to drop back into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00.
Looking ahead, a significant downturn below $75.00 will expose the oil price to the March 30 low at $72.69, followed by the round-level support at $70.00. Till we did not advise to sell WTI Crude oil.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 76.96-R1 78.61
S2 76.00-R2 79.30
S3 75.31-R3 80.26

Discussion

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