Daily Analysis For WTI Crude (US Oil)  23-02-2023

Daily Analysis For WTI Crude (US Oil) 23-02-2023

WTI Crude Oil (US Oil) Analysis
WTI Crude Oil (US Oil)
Economic Events and Scenario for WTI Crude Oil (US Oil)
Economic Events : -
GMTEventCurrency
13:30-(United States) GDP Price Index QoQUSD
13:30-(United States) GDP Growth Rate QoQUSD
13:30-(United States) Chicago Fed National Activity IndexUSD
13:30-(United States) Initial Jobless ClaimsUSD
13:30-(United States) Jobless Claims 4-week AverageUSD
13:30-(United States) Continuing Jobless ClaimsUSD
15:50-(United States) Fed Bostic SpeechUSD
16:00-(United States) EIA Crude Oil Stocks ChangeUSD
16:00-(United States) EIA Gasoline Stocks ChangeUSD

Today's Scenario : - Market participants have recently shown a lack of interest in West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX). The United States American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a significant accumulation of oil inventories for the week ending February 17, which led to this downturn.
To elaborate, the market participants were alarmed by the sudden increase in oil inventories, as it may indicate an oversupply of oil in the market. This oversupply could potentially lead to a drop in demand, causing the prices to plummet even further. Hence, investors were hesitant to invest in WTI futures, resulting in a significant decrease in trading activity.

Buy Scenario : - During early Thursday trading, WTI crude oil saw a rise to a fresh intraday high of around $74.40, marking its first daily gains in three while recovering from a two-week low. However, the energy benchmark is still being closely watched by bears as it struggles with previous support near the $74.45-50 mark from two weeks ago.
Additionally, the bearish signals from the MACD and the continued trading below the 50-day moving average (currently around the $78.00 round figure) add to the downside bias for the oil price. Even if WTI manages to surpass the $78.00 hurdle, a downward-sloping resistance line from early November 2022 at around $78.50 could pose a final barrier for oil sellers.
It's important to note that multiple tops reached in late January around the $82.50-70 range, as well as last December's high of $83.30, could also present challenges for WTI bulls. Till we do not advise to buy in crude oil.

Selling Scenario : - On the other hand, a fresh downside for the commodity may target the horizontal area including multiple lows observed since early January, around $72.65-50.
Should WTI continue to decline, the late 2022 lows of $70.30 and the $70.00 round figure, along with nearly oversold RSI (14) conditions, could potentially test the oil bears. Overall, unless WTI can surpass the $83.30 hurdle on a daily closing basis, it remains a target for bears. Till will did not advise to sell WTI Crude oil.

Support and Resistance Level : -
SupportResistance
S1 92.93-R1 105.59
S2 90.06-R2 108.75
S3 85.41-R3 116.64

Discussion

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