Daily Analysis For WTI Crude (US Oil)  22-02-2023

Daily Analysis For WTI Crude (US Oil) 22-02-2023

WTI Crude Oil (US Oil) Analysis
WTI Crude Oil (US Oil)
Economic Events and Scenario for WTI Crude Oil (US Oil)
Economic Events : -
GMTEventCurrency
12:00-(United States) MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateUSD
19:00-(United States) FOMC MinutesUSD
21:30-(United States) API Crude Oil Stock ChangeUSD
23:30-(United States) Fed Williams SpeechUSD

Today's Scenario : - The US crude oil benchmark, Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), is giving up the gains it made on Monday as it failed to reach the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The price of WTI has fallen towards the lows of the week at around 75.97, before stabilizing at its current level.

Buy Scenario : - In WTI US Oil for recovery moves to take place, the price needs to validate the 100-bar SMA, which is currently near $77.50.
However, the bulls face significant obstacles, including the convergence of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the commodity's late January to early February decline and a downward-sloping resistance line from January 27, which is around $78.80-90. Additionally, the $79.00 level and multiple stops around the $80.00 psychological level are acting as an upside filter for the commodity. Till we do not advise to buy in crude oil.

Selling Scenario : - WTI crude oil is experiencing a decline on Wednesday, reaching $76.00 and breaking an ascending trend line that had been in place for two weeks, currently sitting at around $76.10.
The decline in the commodity's price could be attributed to its retreat from the 100-bar Simple Moving Average (SMA) earlier this week, along with bearish signals from the MACD indicator.
WTI bears could potentially push the price down to the $75.00 round figure before approaching the monthly low of around $72.50. If the price falls below this level, it could be vulnerable to plunging towards the previous monthly low, which was also the lowest level since December 2021, near $70.30.
In the event that the energy benchmark remains bearish past $70.30, the $70.00 round figure will be crucial to watch as it holds the key to further downside, targeting the late 2021 swing low around $66.10. Till will did not advise to sell WTI Crude oil.

Support and Resistance Level : -
SupportResistance
S1 92.93-R1 105.59
S2 90.06-R2 108.75
S3 85.41-R3 116.64

Discussion

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