Daily Analysis For WTI Crude (US Oil)  15-03-2023

Daily Analysis For WTI Crude (US Oil) 15-03-2023

WTI Crude Oil (US Oil) Analysis
WTI Crude Oil (US Oil)
Economic Events and Scenario for WTI Crude Oil (US Oil)
Economic Events: -
GMTEventCurrency
11:30-(United States) MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateUSD
12:30-(United States) NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexUSD
12:30-(United States) PPI MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Core PPI MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Retail Sales MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Retail Sales YoYUSD
12:30-(United States) Retail Sales Ex Autos MoMUSD
14:00-(United States) NAHB Housing Market IndexUSD
14:00-(United States) Business Inventories MoMUSD
14:30-(United States) EIA Crude Oil Stocks ChangeUSD
14:30-(United States) EIA Gasoline Stocks ChangeUSD
20:30-(United States) Net Long-term TIC FlowsUSD

Today's Scenario: - West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures on NYMEX have rebounded from $71.00 and have now reached around $72.26. However, the potential for further upward momentum in oil prices appears limited due to ongoing concerns among investors regarding global demand. This is particularly the case given the recent announcement of interest rate hikes by several western central banks, which has exacerbated market uncertainties.

Buy Scenario: - Moving forward, the US Energy Information Administration's weekly oil inventory data will be of great importance.
Following a responsive buying move from a low of $71.00 on March 14th, the price of oil is now challenging a critical resistance level that was established on February 6th at $72.60. It is recommended to adopt a "wait and watch" approach before taking any position, as the recovery move appears strong on the two-hour scale and has the potential to break out above this resistance level.
However, it is important to note that the declining 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is currently situated at $73.56, indicating a downside bias. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating within the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, suggesting that there may be further downside momentum.
In the event that the oil price manages to decisively break above the resistance level of $73.00, the bulls will likely push the asset towards a low of $75.00 from March 10th and a high of $77.50 from March 12th. Till we do not advise to buy in crude oil.

Selling Scenario: - Alternatively, if the price of oil experiences a breakdown below the March 14th low of $71.00, the asset may be exposed to a new 15-month low at $66.10. This level represents the low from December 20th, 2021, followed by the low from November 30th, 2021, at $64.40." Till will did not advise to sell WTI Crude oil.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 92.93-R1 105.59
S2 90.06-R2 108.75
S3 85.41-R3 116.64

Discussion

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