Daily Analysis For WTI Crude (US Oil)  09-03-2023

Daily Analysis For WTI Crude (US Oil) 09-03-2023

WTI Crude Oil (US Oil) Analysis
WTI Crude Oil (US Oil)
Economic Events and Scenario for WTI Crude Oil (US Oil)
Economic Events: -
GMTEventCurrency
12:30-(United States) Challenger Job CutsUSD
13:30-(United States) Jobless Claims 4-week AverageUSD
13:30-(United States) Continuing Jobless ClaimsUSD
13:30-(United States) Initial Jobless ClaimsUSD
15:00-(United States) Fed Barr SpeechUSD
15:40-(United States) EIA Natural Gas Stocks ChangeUSD
16:30-(United States) 8-Week Bill AuctionUSD
16:30-(United States) 4-Week Bill AuctionUSD
18:00-(United States) 30-Year Bond AuctionUSD

Today's Scenario: - The price of Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), which is the benchmark for crude oil in the United States, has fallen by 0.93%. This drop in price occurred after the two-day testimony of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in the US Congress came to an end. As a result, the US dollar has gained strength, US Treasury bond yields have risen, and there is speculation that there may be a 50 basis points rate hike at the upcoming Fed meeting.

Buy Scenario: - WTI crude oil is currently consolidating within the range of $74.00 to $78.00, with the 20-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) closely aligned with each other. However, the 100-day and 200-day EMAs, located at 80.31 and 83.90, respectively, are above the current WTI spot price, indicating a downward bias. Traders should also note that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned bearish, and the Rate of Change (RoC) has followed suit. Till we do not advise to buy in crude oil.

Selling Scenario: - To continue its bearish trend, WTI needs to break below the support level at $74.00. If it does, the next support levels will be at the February 22 daily low of 73.83, followed by the February 6 low of 72.30, and then the year-to-date low of $70.10. On the other hand, if WTI manages to break above the $77.51-$78.03 area, which is where the 20-day and 50-day EMAs overlap, it will expose the 100-day EMA at $80.31. Till will did not advise to sell WTI Crude oil.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 92.93-R1 105.59
S2 90.06-R2 108.75
S3 85.41-R3 116.64

Discussion

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