Daily Analysis For USD/JPY   29-03-2023

Daily Analysis For USD/JPY 29-03-2023

USD/JPY Analysis
USD/JPY
Economic Events and Scenario for USD/JPY
Economic Events: -
GMTEventImpactCurrency
01:30(Australia) Monthly CPI IndicatorHighAUD
07:00(Germany) GfK Consumer ConfidenceHighEUR
07:45(France) Consumer ConfidenceMediumEUR
08:00(Euro Area) ECB Non-Monetary Policy MeetingMediumEUR
09:00(Austria) Bank Austria Manufacturing PMIHighEUR
09:00(Switzerland) Economic Sentiment IndexLowCHF
09:00(Germany) Bundesbank Balz SpeechLowEUR
09:30(Slovenia) Retail Sales MoMLowEUR
09:30(Slovenia) Retail Sales YoYLowEUR
09:30(United Kingdom) Net Lending to Individuals MoMLowGBP
09:30(United Kingdom) BoE Consumer CreditMediumGBP
09:30(United Kingdom) Mortgage ApprovalsMediumGBP
09:30(United Kingdom) Mortgage LendingMediumGBP
10:00(Malta) PPI YoYLowEUR
10:10(Italy) 6-Month BOT AuctionLowEUR
10:10(Italy) 12-Month BOT AuctionLowEUR
10:30(United Kingdom) BoE Financial Policy Summary and RecordMediumGBP
11:00(Latvia) Retail Sales YoYLowEUR
11:00(Latvia) Retail Sales MoMLowEUR
12:00(United States) MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateMediumUSD
12:00(United States) MBA Mortgage ApplicationsLowUSD
12:00(United States) MBA Mortgage Market IndexLowUSD
12:00(United States) MBA Mortgage Refinance IndexLowUSD
12:00(United States) MBA Purchase IndexLowUSD
14:00(Switzerland) SNB Quarterly BulletinLowCHF
15:00(United States) Pending Home Sales MoMMediumUSD
15:00(United States) Pending Home Sales YoYMediumUSD
15:00(United States) Fed Barr TestimonyMediumUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Refinery Crude Runs ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Crude Oil Stocks ChangeMediumUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Heating Oil Stocks ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Gasoline Production ChangeLowUSD

Today's Scenario: - As Wednesday begins, USD/JPY is hovering near the 132.00 level, indicating that it is holding a stronger position. The pair is benefitting from the current risk-on sentiment in the market, as well as higher US Treasury bond yields. The recent comments from policymakers at the Bank of Japan have been mixed, adding to the overall uncertainty. The next economic data release to look out for is US housing data.

Buy Scenario: - The USD/JPY pair is struggling to move higher after reaching an intraday high of 131.66, as the 200-hour moving average acts as resistance and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is overbought. The pair rose by 85 pips after breaking a descending trend line that had been in place for two weeks. The MACD signals are bullish, which could help the pair break above the 200-HMA barrier at 131.55. Till we did not advise to buy in USD/JPY.

Sell Scenario: - However, a resistance line from March 08 and the 132.00 round figure may pose challenges for the USD/JPY bulls if they continue to push higher. On the downside, a pullback is unlikely unless the pair drops below the previous resistance line at 131.05. The USD/JPY bulls' last line of defense is an ascending trend line from last Friday, around 130.60, followed by the latest swing low at 129.65. Till we did not advise to sell the position in USD/JPY.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 130.32-R1 131.52
S2 129.76-R2 132.16
S3 129.12-R3 132.71

Discussion

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