Daily Analysis For USD/JPY   28-04-2023

Daily Analysis For USD/JPY 28-04-2023

USD/JPY Analysis
Economic Events and Scenario for USD/JPY
Economic Events: -
00:01(United Kingdom) Car Production YoYLowGBP
00:30(Japan) Unemployment RateMediumJPY
00:30(Japan) Jobs/applications ratioLowJPY
00:30(Japan) Tokyo CPI Ex Food and Energy YoYLowJPY
00:30(Japan) Tokyo Core CPI YoYLowJPY
00:30(Japan) Tokyo CPI YoYLowJPY
00:50(Japan) Industrial Production MoMMediumJPY
00:50(Japan) Industrial Production YoYLowJPY
00:50(Japan) Retail Sales YoYMediumJPY
00:50(Japan) Retail Sales MoMLowJPY
01:00(Euro Area) Eurogroup MeetingMediumEUR
02:30(Australia) Private Sector Credit YoYLowAUD
02:30(Australia) Private Sector Credit MoMLowAUD
02:30(Australia) PPI YoYLowAUD
02:30(Australia) PPI QoQMediumAUD
02:30(Australia) Housing Credit MoMMediumAUD
04:00(Japan) BoJ Interest Rate DecisionHighJPY
04:00(Japan) BoJ Quarterly Outlook ReportMediumJPY
06:00(Estonia) Retail Sales YoYLowEUR
06:00(Estonia) Retail Sales MoMLowEUR
06:00(Japan) Housing Starts YoYMediumJPY
06:00(Japan) Construction Orders YoYLowJPY
06:30(France) GDP Growth Rate YoYHighEUR
06:30(France) GDP Growth Rate QoQHighEUR
06:30(France) Household Consumption MoMLowEUR
06:30(Germany) North Rhine Westphalia CPI YoYHighEUR
06:30(Germany) North Rhine Westphalia CPI MoMHighEUR
07:00(Germany) Import Prices MoMLowEUR
07:00(Germany) Import Prices YoYLowEUR
07:30(Switzerland) Retail Sales MoMHighCHF
07:30(Switzerland) Retail Sales YoYHighCHF
07:45(France) PPI YoYLowEUR
07:45(France) PPI MoMLowEUR
07:45(France) Inflation Rate YoYHighEUR
07:45(France) Harmonised Inflation Rate MoMLowEUR
07:45(France) Harmonised Inflation Rate YoYLowEUR
07:45(France) Inflation Rate MoMMediumEUR
08:00(Austria) PPI YoYLowEUR
08:00(Austria) GDP Growth Rate QoQLowEUR
08:00(Austria) PPI MoMLowEUR
08:00(Austria) GDP Growth Rate YoYLowEUR
08:00(Spain) GDP Growth Rate YoYMediumEUR
08:00(Spain) GDP Growth Rate QoQMediumEUR
08:00(Spain) Inflation Rate YoYMediumEUR
08:00(Spain) Inflation Rate MoMMediumEUR
08:00(Spain) Harmonised Inflation Rate YoYLowEUR
08:00(Spain) Harmonised Inflation Rate MoMLowEUR
08:00(Spain) Core Inflation Rate YoYLowEUR
08:00(Switzerland) KOF Leading IndicatorsMediumCHF
08:55(Germany) Unemployment RateHighEUR
08:55(Germany) Unemployment ChangeHighEUR
08:55(Germany) Unemployed PersonsMediumEUR
09:00(European Union) Informal ECOFIN MeetingLowEUR
09:00(Germany) Baden Wuerttemberg CPI YoYHighEUR
09:00(Germany) Baden Wuerttemberg CPI MoMHighEUR
09:00(Germany) Bavaria CPI MoMHighEUR
09:00(Germany) Bavaria CPI YoYHighEUR
09:00(Germany) Brandenburg CPI MoMHighEUR
09:00(Germany) Brandenburg CPI YoYHighEUR
09:00(Germany) Hesse CPI MoMHighEUR
09:00(Germany) Hesse CPI YoYHighEUR
09:00(Germany) GDP Growth Rate QoQHighEUR
09:00(Germany) GDP Growth Rate YoYHighEUR
09:00(Italy) GDP Growth Rate YoYHighEUR
09:00(Italy) GDP Growth Rate QoQHighEUR
09:00(Spain) Current AccountLowEUR
09:00(Switzerland) SNB Jordan SpeechLowCHF
09:30(Portugal) GDP Growth Rate YoYLowEUR
09:30(Portugal) GDP Growth Rate QoQLowEUR
09:30(Slovenia) Inflation Rate MoMLowEUR
09:30(Slovenia) CPILowEUR
09:30(Slovenia) Harmonised Inflation Rate YoYLowEUR
09:30(Slovenia) Inflation Rate YoYLowEUR
10:00(Euro Area) GDP Growth Rate YoYHighEUR
10:00(Euro Area) GDP Growth Rate QoQHighEUR
10:00(Germany) Saxony CPI MoMHighEUR
10:00(Germany) Saxony CPI YoYHighEUR
10:00(Greece) Retail Sales YoYHighEUR
10:00(Greece) PPI YoYLowEUR
10:00(Malta) PPI YoYLowEUR
10:30(Belgium) PPI YoYLowEUR
11:00(Latvia) Retail Sales MoMLowEUR
11:00(Latvia) Retail Sales YoYLowEUR
11:00(Italy) Industrial Sales YoYLowEUR
11:00(Italy) Industrial Sales MoMLowEUR
11:00(Ireland) Retail Sales YoYLowEUR
11:00(Ireland) Retail Sales MoMLowEUR
11:00(Luxembourg) PPI YoYLowEUR
11:00(Portugal) Inflation Rate YoYLowEUR
11:00(Portugal) Inflation Rate MoMLowEUR
11:00(Portugal) Retail Sales YoYLowEUR
11:00(Portugal) Retail Sales MoMLowEUR
13:00(Germany) Harmonised Inflation Rate MoMLowEUR
13:00(Germany) Inflation Rate MoMMediumEUR
13:00(Germany) Inflation Rate YoYHighEUR
13:00(Germany) Harmonised Inflation Rate YoYLowEUR
13:30(Canada) GDP MoMMediumCAD
13:30(Canada) GDP MoMMediumCAD
13:30(United States) Employment Cost - Benefits QoQMediumUSD
13:30(United States) Employment Cost - Wages QoQMediumUSD
13:30(United States) Core PCE Price Index YoYLowUSD
13:30(United States) Core PCE Price Index MoMHighUSD
13:30(United States) PCE Price Index YoYMediumUSD
13:30(United States) PCE Price Index MoMMediumUSD
13:30(United States) Personal Income MoMHighUSD
13:30(United States) Personal Spending MoMHighUSD
13:30(United States) Employment Cost Index QoQMediumUSD
13:30(Germany) Bundesbank Wuermeling SpeechLowEUR
14:45(United States) Chicago PMIMediumUSD
15:00(United States) Michigan Current ConditionsLowUSD
15:00(United States) Michigan Inflation ExpectationsLowUSD
15:00(United States) Michigan Consumer SentimentHighUSD
15:00(United States) Michigan Consumer ExpectationsLowUSD
15:00(United States) Michigan 5 Year Inflation ExpectationsLowUSD
16:00(Canada) Budget BalanceLowCAD
18:00(United States) Baker Hughes Oil Rig CountLowUSD
18:00(United States) Baker Hughes Total Rig CountLowUSD

Today's Scenario: - USD/JPY has surged by 100 pips to reach 134.45 in early Friday trading, following the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision to maintain its current monetary policy. While the central bank's decision was largely in line with market expectations, a change in the forward guidance seems to have spurred the currency pair higher.
The BoJ left benchmark interest rates unchanged at -0.10% and defended the 0.50% band of the Yield Curve Control (YCC), as anticipated. However, the BoJ also stated that it would not hesitate to take additional easing measures as needed while working to ensure market stability, which has recently driven up USD/JPY prices.

Buy Scenario: - To continue its upward momentum, the USD/JPY pair must stay above the pivot level at 133.787 and aim for the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at 134.378. A breach of the high reached on Thursday at 134.198 would confirm a bullish outlook for the USD/JPY pair, but it also depends on support from the Bank of Japan and US economic data to sustain the breakout.
If the pair manages to break above the R1 level, the next target for bulls would be the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at 134.788. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) is located at 135.789. Till we did not advise to buy in USD/JPY.

Sell Scenario: - However, if the pair falls below the pivot level, it could potentially test the First Major Support Level (S1) at 133.377. Unless there is a significant sell-off of the dollar, the USD/JPY pair is expected to avoid breaking below 133 and the Second Major Support Level (S2) at 132.786. The Third Major Support Level (S3) is located at 131.785. Till we did not advise to sell the position in USD/JPY.

Support and Resistance Level: -
S1 133.37-R1 134.36
S2 132.80-R2 134.77
S3 132.39-R3 135.34


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