Daily Analysis For USD/JPY   27-03-2023

Daily Analysis For USD/JPY 27-03-2023

USD/JPY Analysis
USD/JPY
Economic Events and Scenario for USD/JPY
Economic Events: -
GMTEventImpactCurrency
2:30(China) Industrial Profits (YTD) YoYLowCNY
6:00(Finland) Consumer ConfidenceLowEUR
6:00(Finland) Business ConfidenceLowEUR
6:00(Japan) Leading Economic IndexLowJPY
6:00(Japan) Coincident IndexLowJPY
9:00(Germany) Ifo Current ConditionsLowEUR
9:00(Germany) Ifo Business ClimateHighEUR
9:00(Germany) Ifo ExpectationsLowEUR
9:00(Euro Area) Loans to Companies YoYLowEUR
9:00(Euro Area) M3 Money Supply YoYLowEUR
9:00(Euro Area) Loans to Households YoYLowEUR
9:00(Australia) Myfxbook AUDUSD SentimentMediumAUD
9:00(Switzerland) Myfxbook USDCHF SentimentMediumCHF
9:00(Japan) Myfxbook USDJPY SentimentMediumJPY
9:00(European Union) Myfxbook EURUSD SentimentMediumEUR
9:00(United Kingdom) Myfxbook GBPUSD SentimentMediumGBP
9:00(Canada) Myfxbook USDCAD SentimentMediumCAD
9:00(New Zealand) Myfxbook NZDUSD SentimentMediumNZD
11:00(United Kingdom) CBI Distributive TradesMediumGBP
11:00(France) Jobseekers TotalLowEUR
11:00(France) Unemployment Benefit ClaimsMediumEUR
11:00(Greece) Total Credit YoYLowEUR
14:00(France) 3-Month BTF AuctionLowEUR
14:00(France) 12-Month BTF AuctionLowEUR
14:00(France) 6-Month BTF AuctionLowEUR
15:30(United States) Dallas Fed Manufacturing IndexMediumUSD
15:40(Euro Area) ECB Elderson SpeechMediumEUR
16:00(Euro Area) ECB Schnabel SpeechMediumEUR
16:30(United States) 3-Month Bill AuctionLowUSD
16:30(United States) 6-Month Bill AuctionLowUSD
18:00(United States) 2-Year Note AuctionLowUSD
18:00(United Kingdom) BoE Gov Bailey SpeechMediumGBP
22:00(United States) Fed Jefferson SpeechMediumUSD

Today's Scenario: - The USD/JPY pair is currently retreating towards the 130.50 level after failing to maintain levels above 131.00 during Monday's trading session. The pair is following the general weakness in the US Dollar, which is experiencing sluggish Treasury yields and a sense of cautious optimism. Market attention is also focused on the global banking sector and any speeches by officials from the US Federal Reserve.

Buy Scenario: - For the USD/JPY pair to continue its upward momentum, it must avoid dropping below the key pivot level of 130.430 and instead target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at 131.222. A break above the high of last Friday, which was at 130.939, would indicate a bullish session for the USD/JPY. However, for the breakout to be sustained, concerns in the banking sector must ease.
If the bulls manage to sustain their momentum, they could potentially test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at 131.731 and then the resistance level at 132. The Third Major Resistance Level sits at 133.032. Till we did not advise to buy in USD/JPY.

Sell Scenario: - If the USD/JPY fails to sustain above the pivot at 130.430, it could lead to a decline towards the First Major Support Level (S1) at 129.921. However, a sharp sell-off is unlikely to push the pair below the sub-129.500 level, which marks the Second Major Support Level (S2) at 129.129. The Third Major Support Level (S3) lies further down at 127.828. Till we did not advise to sell the position in USD/JPY.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 129.92-R1 131.23
S2 129.13-R2 131.74
S3 128.62-R3 132.53

Discussion

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