Daily Analysis For USD/JPY   26-01-2023

Daily Analysis For USD/JPY 26-01-2023

USD/JPY Analysis
USD/JPY
Economic Events and Scenario for USD/JPY
Economic Events : -
GMTEventCurrency
00:01-(Japan) 40-Year JGB AuctionJPY
13:00-(United States) Building PermitsUSD
13:30-(United States) Jobless Claims 4-week AverageUSD
13:30-(United States) Continuing Jobless ClaimsUSD
13:30-(United States) Initial Jobless ClaimsUSD
13:30-(United States) Goods Trade BalanceUSD
13:30-(United States) Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoMUSD
13:30-(United States) Wholesale Inventories MoMUSD
13:30-(United States) GDP Price Index QoQUSD
13:30-(United States) GDP Growth Rate QoQUSD
13:30-(United States) Durable Goods Orders ex Defense MoMUSD
13:30-(United States) Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoMUSD
13:30-(United States) Durable Goods Orders MoMUSD
15:00-(United States) New Home Sales MoMUSD
15:00-(United States) New Home SalesUSD
23:30-(Japan) Tokyo CPI Ex Food and Energy YoYJPY
23:30-(Japan) Tokyo Core CPI YoYJPY
23:30-(Japan) Tokyo CPI YoYJPY

Today's Scenario : - The USD/JPY pair is moving back toward 129.00 as new supply becomes available in the early European morning. The pair loses some of its gains as the Japanese Yen continues to be supported by the BoJ's Summary of Opinions from its January meeting. Ahead of the US GDP numbers, the US Dollar halts its downward movement.

Buy Scenario : - Early on Thursday, the USD/JPY seesaws close to an intraday low as it licks its wounds around 129.40. The Yen pair consolidates the most recent losses as a two-day losing run as a result. Even so, the quotation shows slight losses while remaining within a symmetrical triangle that has been in place for one week as of the time of press, between 128.50 and 131.00. However, the bearish MACD indications combine with the RSI (14) line's downward slope to give sellers of the USD/JPY some optimism. A declining resistance line from mid-December 2022, near to 131.80, may also present a challenge to purchasers of the Yen pair. It should be noted that the one-month-long horizontal resistance region between 134.50-75 will act as a barrier to the pair's potential rise after the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair's December 15 to January 16 decline, near 132.70, till we do not advise to buy USD/JPY.

Sell Scenario: - The USD/JPY seller's confidence, on the other hand, becomes dependent on a clear breach of the support of the mentioned triangle, which is close to 128.50. The monthly low near 127.20, which is also the lowest level in eight months, might then act as a probe for Yen pair bears before leading them to the 125.20 area, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the quote's movements between December 20 and January 18. Overall, USD/JPY is headed towards a breakthrough point and shows signs of further volatility growth. Till we do not advise to sell USD/JPY.

Support and Resistance Level : -
SupportResistance
S1 139.45-R1 145.00
S2 138.48-R2 146.23
S3 136.06-R3 147.67

Discussion

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