Daily Analysis For USD/JPY   20-03-2023

Daily Analysis For USD/JPY 20-03-2023

USD/JPY Analysis
USD/JPY
Economic Events and Scenario for USD/JPY
Economic Events: -
GMTEventCurrency
06:00-(Estonia) PPI MoMEUR
06:00-(Estonia) PPI YoYEUR
07:00-(Germany) PPI YoYEUR
07:00-(Germany) PPI MoMEUR
08:00-(Switzerland) Myfxbook USDCHF SentimentCHF
08:00-(Australia) Myfxbook AUDUSD SentimentAUD
08:00-(Japan) Myfxbook USDJPY SentimentJPY
08:00-(European Union) Myfxbook EURUSD SentimentEUR
08:00-(United Kingdom) Myfxbook GBPUSD SentimentGBP
08:00-(Canada) Myfxbook USDCAD SentimentCAD
08:00-(New Zealand) Myfxbook NZDUSD SentimentNZD
10:00-(Euro Area) Balance of TradeEUR
10:00-(Slovakia) Unemployment RateEUR
10:30-(Germany) 12-Month Bubill AuctionEUR
10:45-(European Union) EU Bond AuctionEUR
10:45-(European Union) 10-Year Bond AuctionEUR
11:00-(Luxembourg) Unemployment RateEUR
12:30-(Canada) New Motor Vehicle SalesCAD
14:00-(France) 3-Month BTF AuctionEUR
14:00-(France) 12-Month BTF AuctionEUR
14:00-(France) 6-Month BTF AuctionEUR
14:00-(Euro Area) ECB President Lagarde SpeechEUR
15:30-(United States) 3-Month Bill AuctionUSD
15:30-(United States) 6-Month Bill AuctionUSD
16:00-(Canada) 5-Year Bond AuctionCAD
16:00-(Euro Area) ECB President Lagarde SpeechEUR
17:00-(El Salvador) Balance of TradeUSD
21:45-(New Zealand) ExportsNZD
21:45-(New Zealand) ImportsNZD
21:45-(New Zealand) Balance of TradeNZD

Today's Scenario: - The USD/JPY pair has experienced a significant correction, dropping below 132.00 during the Asian session. This is due to the increased demand for the Japanese Yen as a safe-haven currency, prompted by concerns of potential global banking turmoil stemming from the rising interest rates by central banks in the Western hemisphere.

Buy Scenario: - The US Dollar Index (DXY) is facing difficulty in maintaining its position above the resistance level of 103.80. It appears that there is currently a lack of forward anxiety in the market with regards to the Federal Reserve's upcoming monetary policy.
Meanwhile, the USD/JPY pair is experiencing a decline and is heading towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (calculated from the low of January 16 at 127.22 to the high of March 08 at 137.91) at 131.30 on a four-hour time frame. Till we did not advise to buy in USD/JPY.

Sell Scenario: - The current state of the USD/JPY pair indicates strong downward momentum, as demonstrated by the declining 10-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 132.35. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has also shifted into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which suggests a further weakening of the asset.
If the pair fails to hold on to the support level at last week's low of 131.55, then the downside pressure is expected to continue. In such a scenario, the pair may face additional losses, with the next support levels being January 23 high at around 130.89, followed by the February 10 low at 129.80. Till we did not advise to sell the position in USD/JPY.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 134.52-R1 135.21
S2 134.10-R2 135.48
S3 133.83-R3 135.91

Discussion

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