Daily Analysis For USD/JPY   17-03-2023

Daily Analysis For USD/JPY 17-03-2023

USD/JPY Analysis
USD/JPY
Economic Events and Scenario for USD/JPY
Economic Events: -
GMTEventCurrency
03:35-(Japan) 3-Month Bill AuctionJPY
04:30-(Japan) Tertiary Industry Index MoMJPY
13:15-(United States) Industrial Production YoYUSD
13:15-(United States) Industrial Production MoMUSD
14:00-(United States) Michigan Consumer SentimentUSD

Today's Scenario: - The USD/JPY price is currently trending downward and appears to be testing the 130.00 mark. This is primarily due to the recent softening of US Treasury (UST) yields. While the weakening of the US Dollar in general is not yet signaling anything significant, the pair did experience a bounce on Thursday following some stabilization in UST yields.

Buy Scenario: - In terms of resistance levels for USD/JPY, the first obstacle would be the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 134.05. If the pair manages to breach this level, it would then be exposed to the 50 and 20-day EMAs, each at 134.13 and 134.59, respectively, before testing the 100-day EMA at 134.92. A successful break of this level would indicate a shift in momentum and potentially lead to a push towards 135.00, where the buyers would regain control. Till we did not advise to buy in USD/JPY.

Sell Scenario: - The USD/JPY is currently displaying a neutral bias after the intersection of the 20, 50, 100, and 200-day EMAs around the 134.05-92 area. Although the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Rate of Change (RoC) indicators suggest a seller-dominated market, the leading indicator of price action requires sellers to regain control by breaking below the February 10 daily low at 129.79 to initiate further downside.
If the bearish trend continues, the USD/JPY must drop below the March 15 low of 132.21, followed by the 132.00 figure. The next level of support for sellers would be at the February 2 daily low of 128.08, followed by the YTD low at 127.21. Till we did not advise to sell the position in USD/JPY.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 134.52-R1 135.21
S2 134.10-R2 135.48
S3 133.83-R3 135.91

Discussion

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