Daily Analysis For USD/JPY   15-03-2023

Daily Analysis For USD/JPY 15-03-2023

USD/JPY Analysis
USD/JPY
Economic Events and Scenario for USD/JPY
Economic Events: -
GMTEventCurrency
11:30-(United States) MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateUSD
12:30-(United States) NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexUSD
12:30-(United States) PPI MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Core PPI MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Retail Sales MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Retail Sales YoYUSD
12:30-(United States) Retail Sales Ex Autos MoMUSD
14:00-(United States) NAHB Housing Market IndexUSD
14:00-(United States) Business Inventories MoMUSD
14:30-(United States) EIA Crude Oil Stocks ChangeUSD
14:30-(United States) EIA Gasoline Stocks ChangeUSD
20:30-(United States) Net Long-term TIC FlowsUSD
23:50-(Japan) Foreign Bond InvestmentJPY
23:50-(Japan) Stock Investment by ForeignersJPY
23:50-(Japan) Imports YoYJPY
23:50-(Japan) Exports YoYJPY
23:50-(Japan) Balance of TradeJPY
23:50-(Japan) Machinery Orders YoYJPY
23:50-(Japan) Machinery Orders MoMJPY

Today's Scenario: - During early Wednesday, the USD/JPY pair has dropped to an intraday low around 134.00 as sellers of the Yen pair reversed the previous day's corrective bounce from a one-month low. This decline in the pair is in line with the bearish signals indicated by the moving average crossover, as well as the downbeat Relative Strength Index (RSI) line at 14.

Buy Scenario: - The USD/JPY pair faces resistance near 135.05-15, which has been marked as multiple tops since February 17. However, if the pair manages to break above this level and the bullish MACD signals hold, the next significant resistance level will be the convergence of the 50-SMA and the 100-SMA around 135.65-70. The success of this break above the resistance level will be critical in determining whether the USD/JPY pair can continue to rise towards its monthly high of 137.91. Till we did not advise to buy in USD/JPY.

Sell Scenario: - The USD/JPY pair's 50-SMA is currently pushing down on the 100-SMA from above, and is combined with the negative RSI line, suggesting that the pair may experience further declines. However, the Yen pair's bears may find it challenging to break through the five-week-old horizontal support zone around 135.90-85.
If the USD/JPY pair does fall below the 135.85 support level, the possibility of a more extended downward trend towards a two-month-old ascending support line, which is near 130.55 at the moment, cannot be discounted. Till we did not advise to sell the position in USD/JPY.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 134.52-R1 135.21
S2 134.10-R2 135.48
S3 133.83-R3 135.91

Discussion

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