Daily Analysis For USD/JPY   14-03-2023

Daily Analysis For USD/JPY 14-03-2023

USD/JPY Analysis
USD/JPY
Economic Events and Scenario for USD/JPY
Economic Events: -
GMTEventCurrency
03:35-(Japan) 5-Year JGB AuctionJPY
12:30-(United States) CPIUSD
12:30-(United States) Inflation Rate MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Core Inflation Rate MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Inflation Rate YoYUSD
12:30-(United States) Core Inflation Rate YoYUSD
12:30-(United States) CPI s.aUSD
20:30-(United States) API Crude Oil Stock ChangeUSD
21:20-(United States) Fed Bowman SpeechUSD
23:50-(Japan) BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting MinutesJPY

Today's Scenario: - The USD/JPY currency pair experienced a rebound after hitting a monthly low of 132.34. This short covering occurred just before the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI). The downward correction in USD/JPY began earlier this week as a result of declining US Treasury bond yields.

Buy Scenario: - Looking at the technical perspective, the sustained move above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of a corrective pullback from over a three-decade high was seen as a fresh trigger for bulls this week. However, caution is necessary as the very important 200-day SMA still needs to be broken before positioning for any further upward movement.
In the short term, the immediate hurdles for USD/JPY are located at the 137.00 mark, followed by the 137.30 region and the overnight swing high at around 137.90 area. If the pair manages to move beyond the 138.00 mark, it will reaffirm the near-term positive outlook and lift the USD/JPY pair to the 138.50 intermediate barrier, en route to the 139.00 round figure. The upward trajectory could further extend towards testing the 61.8% Fibo. level, located around the 139.55-139.60 region, Till we did not advise to buy in USD/JPY.

Sell Scenario: - If USD/JPY extends its downward correction, it could find support near the 136.00 mark, where the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level lies. Any further decline could attract buyers near the mid-136.00s level and limit the downside near the 135.35 horizontal zone. However, if the pair breaks through the psychological support level of 135.00, it would shift the near-term bias in favour of the bears. This could trigger a subsequent sell-off, leading to a drop towards the 134.75-134.70 region before eventually hitting the 134.25 area and the 134.00 round figure. Till we did not advise to sell the position in USD/JPY.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 134.52-R1 135.21
S2 134.10-R2 135.48
S3 133.83-R3 135.91

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