Daily Analysis For USD/JPY   09-03-2023

Daily Analysis For USD/JPY 09-03-2023

USD/JPY Analysis
USD/JPY
Economic Events and Scenario for USD/JPY
Economic Events: -
GMTEventCurrency
03:35-(Japan) 3-Month Bill AuctionJPY
06:00-(Japan) Machine Tool Orders YoYJPY
12:30-(United States) Challenger Job CutsUSD
13:30-(United States) Jobless Claims 4-week AverageUSD
13:30-(United States) Continuing Jobless ClaimsUSD
13:30-(United States) Initial Jobless ClaimsUSD
15:00-(United States) Fed Barr SpeechUSD
15:40-(United States) EIA Natural Gas Stocks ChangeUSD
16:30-(United States) 8-Week Bill AuctionUSD
16:30-(United States) 4-Week Bill AuctionUSD
18:00-(United States) 30-Year Bond AuctionUSD
23:30-(Japan) Household Spending YoYJPY
23:30-(Japan) Household Spending MoMJPY
23:50-(Japan) PPI YoYJPY
23:50-(Japan) PPI MoMJPY

Today's Scenario: - USD/JPY is facing significant selling pressure around the 137.00 level on Thursday. This is due to a renewed sell-off in the US Dollar and a slight increase in risk aversion among investors. Market participants are evaluating the potential for a recession and US President Biden's proposed tax plan. Meanwhile, the Yen is gaining momentum in anticipation of the Bank of Japan's policy decision on Friday.

Buy Scenario: - The USD/JPY pair managed to close slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the downswing from 151.93 to 127.21, which had been acting as a resistance level around 136.65 during the past few sessions. However, to gain further momentum, the bulls must overcome the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and the psychological level of 138.00. Once this hurdle is cleared, the pair could accelerate towards the next Fibonacci level at 139.60. Additionally, the region around 140.30 may also attract some attention before the focus shifts to the key resistance level at 142.20. Till we did not advise to buy in USD/JPY.

Sell Scenario: - The USD/JPY pair has been on a bullish trend since January's seven-month low, with the 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMA) indicating a positive momentum. The RSI and Stochastic oscillator also support a bullish scenario, although they are approaching overbought levels. In case the price falls below 136.65, the 20-day SMA at around 135.00 could provide support. The next potential target would be the 23.6% Fibonacci zone at 133.00, followed by the support area between 131.50-130.50 if the pair continues to drop. Till we did not advise to sell the position in USD/JPY.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 134.52-R1 135.21
S2 134.10-R2 135.48
S3 133.83-R3 135.91

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