Daily Analysis For USD/JPY   07-03-2023

Daily Analysis For USD/JPY 07-03-2023

USD/JPY Analysis
USD/JPY
Economic Events and Scenario for USD/JPY
Economic Events: -
GMTEventCurrency
03:35-(Japan) 30-Year JGB AuctionJPY
15:00-(United States) IBD/TIPP Economic OptimismUSD
15:00-(United States) Fed Chair Powell TestimonyUSD
21:30-(United States) API Crude Oil Stock ChangeUSD
23:50-(Japan) Bank Lending YoYJPY
23:50-(Japan) Current AccountJPY

Today's Scenario: - The USD/JPY pair is maintaining its recovery from the start of the week as it records slight gains around 136.10 in Tuesday's Asian trading session. This confirms the pair's breakthrough of a three-day resistance line from the previous day, which is now acting as support at approximately 135.90.

Buy Scenario: - The USD/JPY pair is maintaining its recovery from the start of the week as it records slight gains around 136.10 in Tuesday's Asian trading session. This confirms the pair's breakthrough of a three-day resistance line from the previous day, which is now acting as support at approximately 135.90. The bullish MACD signals further support the USD/JPY buyers as they approach the 100-Hour Moving Average (HMA) hurdle at 136.20.
However, the support-turned-resistance line from February around 136.50 may pose a challenge to the USD/JPY pair's further advances. Multiple levels around 136.60 and 137.00, marked in late February and early March, could also serve as hurdles before directing the bulls to the previous weekly top of 137.10.
If the USD/JPY pair remains firm past 137.10, there is a possibility of witnessing a run-up toward the December 2022 peak of 138.17. Conversely, if the bears take control, a downward trend may ensue, and the pair could slide towards the yearly low of 134.94. Till we did not advise to buy in USD/JPY.

Sell Scenario: - The USD/JPY pair is expected to maintain its bullish momentum, and any pullback is unlikely as long as it stays above the previous resistance line from last Thursday, which now acts as support around 135.90.
If the pair manages to break above the 100-Hour Moving Average (HMA) hurdle of 136.20, it could face resistance at the support-turned-resistance line from February, around 136.50. Further resistance levels are located at 136.60 and 137.00, marked during late February and early March, before reaching the previous weekly top of 137.10.
If the USD/JPY pair manages to surpass the 137.10 level, it may aim for the December 2022 peak of 138.17.
However, if the pair drops below 135.90, it could test the one-week-old ascending trend line around 135.40.
Overall, the USD/JPY pair is likely to remain bullish, but further upside movement needs confirmation by a break above the 136.50 resistance level. Till we did not advise to sell the position in USD/JPY.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 134.52-R1 135.21
S2 134.10-R2 135.48
S3 133.83-R3 135.91

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