Daily Analysis For USD/JPY   03-03-2023

Daily Analysis For USD/JPY 03-03-2023

USD/JPY Analysis
USD/JPY
Economic Events and Scenario for USD/JPY
Economic Events : -
GMTEventCurrency
00:30-(Japan) Jibun Bank Services PMIJPY
00:30-(Japan) Jibun Bank Composite PMIJPY
03:35-(Japan) 3-Month Bill AuctionJPY
14:45-(United States) S&P Global Services PMIUSD
14:45-(United States) S&P Global Composite PMIUSD
15:00-(United States) ISM Non-Manufacturing EmploymentUSD
15:00-(United States) ISM Non-Manufacturing PMIUSD
16:00-(United States) Fed Logan SpeechUSD
16:45-(United States) Fed Bostic SpeechUSD
20:00-(United States) Fed Bowman SpeechUSD
21:45-(United States) Fed Barkin SpeechUSD

Today's Scenario : - The USD/JPY pair reached its highest level since December 20th. However, it faced resistance near the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and failed to extend gains beyond the 137.00 level.

Buy Scenario : - The USD/JPY pair faces a descending resistance line from its recent peak, which limits its immediate upside potential near 136.75. A break above this level would bring the previous support line from Wednesday into focus, followed by the top line of the wedge pattern around 137.00 and 137.20, respectively.
If the pair manages to hold above 137.20, there is a possibility of further upward movement towards the December 2022 peak near 138.20. Till we did not advise to buy in USD/JPY.

Sell Scenario: - The USD/JPY pair is experiencing a decline from its Year-To-Date (YTD) high, which was reached yesterday. The Yen pair is currently at an intraday low near 136.50 on Friday, which marks a reversal from its two-day winning streak. The quote is currently under pressure within a one-week-old rising wedge bearish chart formation.
The USD/JPY pair broke a short-term support line on Thursday, which now acts as resistance around 137.00. This downside break, along with bearish MACD signals, has encouraged sellers, leading them to anticipate further declines. The lower line of the mentioned rising wedge, currently near 135.85, is considered a crucial support level.
However, it is essential to note that the 200-Hour Moving Average (HMA) level around 135.60 acts as an additional barrier to the downside before compelling USD/JPY bears to target the theoretical target of the rising wedge at 132.80, if prices stay weak beyond 135.85. Till we did not advise to sell the position in USD/JPY.

Support and Resistance Level : -
SupportResistance
S1 134.52-R1 135.21
S2 134.10-R2 135.48
S3 133.83-R3 135.91

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