Daily Analysis For USD/JPY   02-02-2023

Daily Analysis For USD/JPY 02-02-2023

USD/JPY Analysis
USD/JPY
Economic Events and Scenario for USD/JPY
Economic Events : -
GMTEventCurrency
03:35-(Japan) 10-Year JGB AuctionJPY
13:30-(United States) Unit Labour Costs QoQUSD
13:30-(United States) Nonfarm Productivity QoQUSD
13:30-(United States) Initial Jobless ClaimsUSD
13:30-(United States) Jobless Claims 4-week AverageUSD
13:30-(United States) Continuing Jobless ClaimsUSD
15:00-(United States) Factory Orders MoMUSD

Today's Scenario : - After finding a temporary cushion around 128.20 in the Asian session, the USD/JPY pair has since recovered. Investors should view the bounce just as a retracement that may be sold ahead given the risk-on market sentiment and unbroken downward bias.

Buy Scenario : - On the flip side, the round number 129.00 now appears to operate as a barrier before the aforementioned trend-line support breakpoint, which is now in the 129.35 area. A sustained rise past the latter might start a rebound for short-covering and allow the USD/JPY pair to retake the key 130.00 level. Any additional ascent, however, might still be viewed as a buying opportunity and could fizzle out rapidly close to the 130.40–130.60 area of high supply, still we do not advise to buy GBP/USD currency pair.

Sell Scenario: - The post-FOMC decline, from a technical standpoint, confirms a collapse of a short-term rising trend-line support. However, spot prices are able to find some support in the 128.20 region, or the 61.8 Fibonacci retracement level of the powerful advance from January to October 2022. The pessimistic picture will be confirmed by some follow-through selling below the 128.00 level, which will pave the way for more losses. The USD/JPY pair may potentially surge upward in the direction of hitting the multi-month low, which was last reached around the 127.20 area on January 16. Following closely after is the 127.00 level, below which the pair may drop to a bottom in May 2022 in the vicinity of 126.35. Till then we do not advise selling GBP/USD.

Support and Resistance Level : -
SupportResistance
S1 139.45-R1 145.00
S2 138.48-R2 146.23
S3 136.06-R3 147.67

Discussion

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