Daily Analysis For USD/JPY   01-03-2023

Daily Analysis For USD/JPY 01-03-2023

USD/JPY Analysis
USD/JPY
Economic Events and Scenario for USD/JPY
Economic Events : -
GMTEventCurrency
00:30-(Japan) Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMIJPY
01:30-(Japan) BoJ Nakagawa SpeechJPY
12:00-(United States) MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateUSD
14:45-(United States) S&P Global Manufacturing PMIUSD
15:00-(United States) ISM Manufacturing EmploymentUSD
15:00-(United States) ISM Manufacturing PMIUSD
15:30-(United States) EIA Crude Oil Stocks ChangeUSD
15:30-(United States) EIA Gasoline Stocks ChangeUSD
23:50-(Japan) Foreign Bond InvestmentJPY
23:50-(Japan) Stock Investment by ForeignersJPY
23:50-((Japan) Capital Spending YoYJPY

Today's Scenario : - During early Wednesday morning in Europe, the USD/JPY currency pair has recorded modest gains around the 136.30-40 range. This marks a reversal from the pair's previous two-day losing streak, which had seen it drop to the lowest levels since late December 2022.

Buy Scenario : - The USD/JPY currency pair has recorded modest gains around the 136.30-40 range during early Wednesday morning in Europe, ending its previous two-day losing streak. However, this recovery is currently facing limited acceptance due to the overbought RSI (14) and the presence of the key 100-DMA and 200-DMA.
To convince buyers, the latest rebound of the quote needs validation from the 100-DMA and 200-DMA, located near 136.85 and 137.20, respectively. Additionally, the last December's peak near 138.20 could also act as an upside filter.
If the pair manages to break these levels, the next targets for the buyers could be the 140.00 round figure and the late November 2022 high of 142.25. Till we did not advise to buy in USD/JPY.

Sell Scenario: - The USD/JPY pair is currently held up by a 13-day-long support line near 135.35, limiting its short-term downside potential. However, if the pair were to drop below this support level, the January 2022 peak near 134.75 could act as an additional check for the bears before targeting multiple support levels near 131.00.
Despite the recent rebound, the pair's bullish momentum may face resistance from key moving averages, with the 100-DMA and 200-DMA at 136.85 and 137.20, respectively. Additionally, overbought RSI conditions may also dampen bullish sentiment.
In the event that the pair manages to break above the key moving averages, the December 2022 peak near 138.20, followed by the 140.00 round figure and the late November 2022 high of 142.25, could attract buyers.
Overall, while the USD/JPY may continue to follow bullish MACD signals in the short term, its upward potential may be limited by key resistance levels and overbought RSI conditions. Till we did not advise to sell the position in USD/JPY.

Support and Resistance Level : -
SupportResistance
S1 134.52-R1 135.21
S2 134.10-R2 135.48
S3 133.83-R3 135.91

Discussion

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