Daily Analysis For USD/CHF  20-03-2023

Daily Analysis For USD/CHF 20-03-2023

USD/CHF Analysis
USD/CHF
Economic Events and Scenario for USD/CHF
Economic Events : -
GMTEventCurrency
06:00-(Estonia) PPI MoMEUR
06:00-(Estonia) PPI YoYEUR
07:00-(Germany) PPI YoYEUR
07:00-(Germany) PPI MoMEUR
08:00-(Switzerland) Myfxbook USDCHF SentimentCHF
08:00-(Australia) Myfxbook AUDUSD SentimentAUD
08:00-(Japan) Myfxbook USDJPY SentimentJPY
08:00-(European Union) Myfxbook EURUSD SentimentEUR
08:00-(United Kingdom) Myfxbook GBPUSD SentimentGBP
08:00-(Canada) Myfxbook USDCAD SentimentCAD
08:00-(New Zealand) Myfxbook NZDUSD SentimentNZD
10:00-(Euro Area) Balance of TradeEUR
10:00-(Slovakia) Unemployment RateEUR
10:30-(Germany) 12-Month Bubill AuctionEUR
10:45-(European Union) EU Bond AuctionEUR
10:45-(European Union) 10-Year Bond AuctionEUR
11:00-(Luxembourg) Unemployment RateEUR
12:30-(Canada) New Motor Vehicle SalesCAD
14:00-(France) 3-Month BTF AuctionEUR
14:00-(France) 12-Month BTF AuctionEUR
14:00-(France) 6-Month BTF AuctionEUR
14:00-(Euro Area) ECB President Lagarde SpeechEUR
15:30-(United States) 3-Month Bill AuctionUSD
15:30-(United States) 6-Month Bill AuctionUSD
16:00-(Canada) 5-Year Bond AuctionCAD
16:00-(Euro Area) ECB President Lagarde SpeechEUR
17:00-(El Salvador) Balance of TradeUSD
21:45-(New Zealand) ExportsNZD
21:45-(New Zealand) ImportsNZD
21:45-(New Zealand) Balance of TradeNZD

Today's Scenario: - USD/CHF is currently attempting to test the 0.9250 level, as there is an abundance of US Dollars flooding the market. The coordinated effort from central banks to increase liquidity worldwide is expected to put downward pressure on the US Dollar.
In an effort to gain access to US Dollars, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has opened the swap line for some major banks. Additionally, reports suggest that UBS may acquire Credit Suisse, which could improve financial conditions in Switzerland. This development may be positive for the Swiss Franc (CHF), which could maintain the downside bias for USD/CHF.

Buy Scenario: - USD/CHF is expected to face resistance around the 50-DMA and 21-DMA, with a downward trendline from the March high further adding to the downside bias. The RSI also indicates potential for further downside. The upcoming SNB rate decision on Thursday, with a 50 bps hike expected, will be closely watched for its impact on the pair's direction. Till we do not advise to buy USD/CHF.

Sell Scenario: - The Federal Reserve (Fed) has opened a swap line for some major banks to access US Dollars, and there are reports that UBS may acquire Credit Suisse, which could ease financial conditions in Switzerland and be positive for the CHF. As a result, the downside bias for USD/CHF remains intact, and the pair could retrace the Credit Suisse-led gain from the 0.9141 mark if it breaks the closest support at 0.9250. Similar to the initial swap line during COVID, there could be a strong downside run for the US Dollar. If everything remains calm, the pair's ultimate destination could be 0.9100. Till we do not advise to sell USD/CHF.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 0.9233-R1 0.9294
S2 0.9207-R2 0.9328
S3 0.9173-R3 0.9355

Discussion

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