Daily Analysis For USD/CAD  28-03-2023

Daily Analysis For USD/CAD 28-03-2023

USD/CAD Analysis
USD/CAD
Economic Events and Scenario for USD/CAD
Economic Events : -
GMTEventImpactCurrency
1:30(Australia) Retail Sales MoMHighAUD
4:35(Japan) 40-Year JGB AuctionLowJPY
5:15(Australia) RBA Connolly SpeechMediumAUD
7:00(Lithuania) Retail Sales MoMLowEUR
7:00(Lithuania) Retail Sales YoYLowEUR
7:45(France) Business Climate IndicatorLowEUR
7:45(France) Business ConfidenceMediumEUR
9:00(Italy) Consumer ConfidenceMediumEUR
9:00(Italy) Business ConfidenceMediumEUR
9:35(Euro Area) ECB Enria SpeechMediumEUR
9:45(United Kingdom) BoE Gov Bailey SpeechMediumGBP
10:10(Italy) Index-Linked BTP AuctionLowEUR
10:10(Italy) BTP Short TermLowEUR
10:10(Italy) 10-Year BTP Short Term AuctionLowEUR
10:30(Germany) 2-Year Schatz AuctionLowEUR
11:00(Ireland) Retail Sales YoYLowEUR
11:00(Ireland) Retail Sales MoMLowEUR
11:00(Luxembourg) Balance of TradeLowEUR
13:30(United States) Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoMMediumUSD
13:30(United States) Goods Trade BalanceHighUSD
13:30(United States) Wholesale Inventories MoMMediumUSD
13:55(United States) Redbook YoYLowUSD
14:00(United States) House Price Index YoYLowUSD
14:00(United States) House Price IndexLowUSD
14:00(United States) S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoYMediumUSD
14:00(United States) S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoMMediumUSD
14:00(United States) House Price Index MoMLowUSD
15:00(United States) CB Consumer ConfidenceMediumUSD
15:00(United States) Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments IndexLowUSD
15:00(United States) Richmond Fed Manufacturing IndexLowUSD
15:00(United States) Richmond Fed Services IndexLowUSD
15:00(United States) Fed Barr TestimonyMediumUSD

Today's Scenario: - During Asian trading hours, the Canadian dollar has continued its recent rally against the US dollar, resulting in a new high for the pair USD/CAD at 1.3641. This comes after the Canadian dollar saw its biggest gain in two weeks on Monday.

Buy Scenario: - The USD/CAD currency pair may attempt to recover and first target the 1.3700 round figure before aiming for the recent highs around 1.3750 and 1.3800. However, a crucial resistance area lies at 1.3815-20, which has acted as a horizontal barrier for the past three weeks, and a break above it would be needed to strengthen the conviction of USD/CAD bulls. Till we do not advise to buy USD/CAD.

Sell Scenario: - The USD/CAD pair is facing weakness, as indicated by bearish MACD signals and a downbeat RSI (14) line. However, the pair's immediate declines are being restricted by upward-sloping support from late February, around 1.3650. In addition, a convergence of the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair's February-March upside, near 1.3630, is providing strong support. If the pair continues to decline, the next potential target could be the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at around 1.3560. Till we do not advise to sell USD/CAD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 1.3625-R1 1.3721
S2 1.3590-R2 1.3781
S3 1.3529-R3 1.3817

Discussion

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