Daily Analysis For USD/CAD  04-04-2023

Daily Analysis For USD/CAD 04-04-2023

USD/CAD Analysis
USD/CAD
Economic Events and Scenario for USD/CAD
Economic Events : -
GMTEventImpactCurrency
04:35(Japan) 10-Year JGB AuctionLowJPY
05:30(Australia) RBA Interest Rate DecisionHighAUD
07:00(Germany) Imports MoM s.aLowEUR
07:00(Germany) Exports MoM s.aLowEUR
07:00(Germany) Balance of Trade s.aLowEUR
08:00(Spain) Unemployment ChangeHighEUR
09:00(Euro Area) ECB Consumer Expectations SurveyMediumEUR
09:30(Slovenia) Balance of TradeLowEUR
10:00(Euro Area) PPI MoMLowEUR
10:00(Euro Area) PPI YoYLowEUR
10:00(France) New Car Registrations YoYLowEUR
10:00(Cyprus) Current AccountLowEUR
10:30(Germany) Index-Linked Bund AuctionLowEUR
10:30(United States) LMI Logistics Managers Index CurrentLowUSD
10:30(Germany) 30-Year Bund/€i AuctionLowEUR
11:30(Portugal) Budget BalanceLowEUR
13:30(Canada) Building Permits MoMLowCAD
13:55(United States) Redbook YoYLowUSD
15:00(United States) JOLTs Job QuitsLowUSD
15:00(United States) JOLTs Job OpeningsHighUSD
15:00(United States) Factory Orders ex TransportationLowUSD
15:00(United States) Factory Orders MoMMediumUSD
15:00(United States) IBD/TIPP Economic OptimismMediumUSD
15:30(United Kingdom) BoE Pill SpeechMediumGBP
16:00(New Zealand) Global Dairy Trade Price IndexLowNZD
17:00(Belgium) New Car Registrations YoYLowEUR
17:30(United Kingdom) BoE Financial Policy Summary and RecordMediumGBP
18:30(United States) Fed Cook SpeechMediumUSD
21:30(United States) API Crude Oil Stock ChangeMediumUSD
23:45(United States) Fed Mester SpeechMediumUSD

Today's Scenario: - The USD/CAD pair has recovered from earlier losses and is trading above the 1.3400 level as European trading gets underway on Tuesday. Despite higher prices for WTI crude oil, which is Canada's primary export, the Loonie pair is ignoring these gains and putting a stop to a six-day decline that had taken it to its lowest levels since mid-February.

Buy Scenario: - If the USD/CAD pair breaks above the psychological resistance level of 1.3500, it could signal a shift in favor of the US Dollar, with potential upside targets at the 50% and 38.2% Fibo retracements at 1.3563 and 1.3633, respectively. Till we do not advise to buy USD/CAD.

Sell Scenario: - The USD/CAD pair has been on a six-day losing streak and is expected to decline further as oil prices are projected to increase, which strengthens the Canadian Dollar. The upcoming United States Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change (March) data, scheduled for Wednesday, is also expected to impact the pair's movement.
On a four-hour scale, the Loonie asset has fallen below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, indicating a potential full retracement of its recent move. The bearish momentum is supported by the downward-sloping 10- and 20-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is also in the bearish range.
If the pair rebounds towards the 10-EMA, investors may consider selling, which would likely drive the pair towards the February 16 low at 1.3357 and February 02 low at 1.3262Till we do not advise to sell USD/CAD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 1.3386-R1 1.3512
S2 1.3336-R2 1.3587
S3 1.3261-R3 1.3637

Discussion

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