Daily Analysis For US Doller Index 19-05-2023

Daily Analysis For US Doller Index 19-05-2023

US Doller Index Analysis
US Doller Index
Economic Events and Scenario for US Doller Index
Economic Events : -
GMTEventImpactCurrency
00:01(United Kingdom) Gfk Consumer ConfidenceHighGBP
00:30(Japan) Core Inflation Rate YoYMediumJPY
00:30(Japan) Inflation Rate MoMLowJPY
00:30(Japan) Inflation Rate YoYHighJPY
00:30(Japan) Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy YoYLowJPY
01:00(Belgium) Friday after Ascension DayNoneEUR
04:00(New Zealand) Credit Card Spending YoYLowNZD
04:35(Japan) 3-Month Bill AuctionLowJPY
05:30(Japan) Tertiary Industry Index MoMLowJPY
07:00(Germany) PPI YoYLowEUR
07:00(Germany) PPI MoMMediumEUR
08:00(Slovakia) Current AccountLowEUR
09:00(Greece) Current AccountLowEUR
09:00(Italy) Construction Output YoYLowEUR
09:30(Slovenia) PPI YoYLowEUR
10:00(Slovakia) Unemployment RateLowEUR
11:00(Spain) Consumer ConfidenceMediumEUR
12:00(Montenegro) Current AccountLowEUR
13:30(Canada) Retail Sales YoYHighCAD
13:30(Canada) Retail Sales Ex Autos MoMHighCAD
13:30(Canada) Retail Sales MoMHighCAD
13:45(United States) Fed Williams SpeechMediumUSD
14:00(United States) Fed Bowman SpeechMediumUSD
15:55(Euro Area) ECB Schnabel SpeechMediumEUR
16:00(United States) Fed Chair Powell SpeechHighUSD
18:00(United States) Baker Hughes Oil Rig CountLowUSD
18:00(United States) Baker Hughes Total Rig CountLowUSD
20:00(Euro Area) ECB President Lagarde SpeechMediumEUR

Today's Scenario: - The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading near 103.50, hovering around its highest levels in two months in a relatively slow session on Friday. The US Dollar faces some challenges and mixed sentiment, but it is supported by concerns about a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and optimism that the US will avoid defaulting on its debt.
Market expectations of a rate cut by the Fed in 2023 have decreased significantly in recent days, while the possibility of a 0.25% rate hike in June has gained some acceptance, albeit at a slower pace. This has helped the US Dollar and yields to maintain their strength.

Buy Scenario: - The main trend of the US Dollar Index (DXY) is upward. The index has continued its rally above the level of 103.02 (Support 1) earlier today. It may encounter some minor resistance around 104.15 (Resistance 2), but if it manages to surpass this level, it could lead to an acceleration toward 104.68 (Resistance 3). Till we do not advise to buy US Dollar Index.

Sell Scenario: - However, if the index fails to hold above the level of 103.02 (Support 1), it would indicate weakness. If this leads to a significant downward momentum, we could see selling pressure pushing the index toward the next support level at 102.49 (Support 2). Till we do not advise to sell in US Dollar Index

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 103.02-R1 103.85
S2 102.49-R2 104.15
S3 102.19-R3 104.68

Discussion

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