Daily Analysis For US Doller Index 04-04-2023

Daily Analysis For US Doller Index 04-04-2023

US Doller Index Analysis
US Doller Index
Economic Events and Scenario for US Doller Index
Economic Events : -
GMTEventImpactCurrency
04:35(Japan) 10-Year JGB AuctionLowJPY
05:30(Australia) RBA Interest Rate DecisionHighAUD
07:00(Germany) Imports MoM s.aLowEUR
07:00(Germany) Exports MoM s.aLowEUR
07:00(Germany) Balance of Trade s.aLowEUR
08:00(Spain) Unemployment ChangeHighEUR
09:00(Euro Area) ECB Consumer Expectations SurveyMediumEUR
09:30(Slovenia) Balance of TradeLowEUR
10:00(Euro Area) PPI MoMLowEUR
10:00(Euro Area) PPI YoYLowEUR
10:00(France) New Car Registrations YoYLowEUR
10:00(Cyprus) Current AccountLowEUR
10:30(Germany) Index-Linked Bund AuctionLowEUR
10:30(United States) LMI Logistics Managers Index CurrentLowUSD
10:30(Germany) 30-Year Bund/€i AuctionLowEUR
11:30(Portugal) Budget BalanceLowEUR
13:30(Canada) Building Permits MoMLowCAD
13:55(United States) Redbook YoYLowUSD
15:00(United States) JOLTs Job QuitsLowUSD
15:00(United States) JOLTs Job OpeningsHighUSD
15:00(United States) Factory Orders ex TransportationLowUSD
15:00(United States) Factory Orders MoMMediumUSD
15:00(United States) IBD/TIPP Economic OptimismMediumUSD
15:30(United Kingdom) BoE Pill SpeechMediumGBP
16:00(New Zealand) Global Dairy Trade Price IndexLowNZD
17:00(Belgium) New Car Registrations YoYLowEUR
17:30(United Kingdom) BoE Financial Policy Summary and RecordMediumGBP
18:30(United States) Fed Cook SpeechMediumUSD
21:30(United States) API Crude Oil Stock ChangeMediumUSD
23:45(United States) Fed Mester SpeechMediumUSD

Today's Scenario: - The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently fluctuating around the support level of 102.00 in the Asian session. There is a likelihood that it may drop to a new two-month low below 102.00, as investors are feeling more confident and willing to take on risk, due to the belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will pause their policy-tightening process.

Buy Scenario: - The US dollar index opened higher on Monday but quickly lost momentum and turned negative, reversing Friday's gains. The index's performance is heavily influenced by the Euro and British Pound, which have turned bullish due to eased tensions in the banking sector.
Despite initial attempts to recover above the Fibonacci barrier at 102.55, the dollar remains under pressure due to negative technical indicators on the daily chart, including bearish momentum and a thickening daily cloud above the price. Till we do not advise to buy US Dollar Index.

Sell Scenario: - As long as the price remains below 102.55, the downside is expected to remain at risk. A close below the daily Tenkan-sen at 102.27 could lead to a retest of pivotal supports at 101.71 and 101.53, with key support at 100.66. Initial resistance is at 102.64, followed by the daily cloud base at 103.03. Till we do not advise to sell in US Dollar Index

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 101.67-R1 102.76
S2 101.28-R2 103.45
S3 100.59-R3 103.84

Discussion

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