Daily Analysis For NZD/USD  19-05-2023

Daily Analysis For NZD/USD 19-05-2023

NZD/USD Analysis
NZD/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for NZD/USD
Economic Events : -
GMTEventImpactCurrency
00:01(United Kingdom) Gfk Consumer ConfidenceHighGBP
00:30(Japan) Core Inflation Rate YoYMediumJPY
00:30(Japan) Inflation Rate MoMLowJPY
00:30(Japan) Inflation Rate YoYHighJPY
00:30(Japan) Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy YoYLowJPY
01:00(Belgium) Friday after Ascension DayNoneEUR
04:00(New Zealand) Credit Card Spending YoYLowNZD
04:35(Japan) 3-Month Bill AuctionLowJPY
05:30(Japan) Tertiary Industry Index MoMLowJPY
07:00(Germany) PPI YoYLowEUR
07:00(Germany) PPI MoMMediumEUR
08:00(Slovakia) Current AccountLowEUR
09:00(Greece) Current AccountLowEUR
09:00(Italy) Construction Output YoYLowEUR
09:30(Slovenia) PPI YoYLowEUR
10:00(Slovakia) Unemployment RateLowEUR
11:00(Spain) Consumer ConfidenceMediumEUR
12:00(Montenegro) Current AccountLowEUR
13:30(Canada) Retail Sales YoYHighCAD
13:30(Canada) Retail Sales Ex Autos MoMHighCAD
13:30(Canada) Retail Sales MoMHighCAD
13:45(United States) Fed Williams SpeechMediumUSD
14:00(United States) Fed Bowman SpeechMediumUSD
15:55(Euro Area) ECB Schnabel SpeechMediumEUR
16:00(United States) Fed Chair Powell SpeechHighUSD
18:00(United States) Baker Hughes Oil Rig CountLowUSD
18:00(United States) Baker Hughes Total Rig CountLowUSD
20:00(Euro Area) ECB President Lagarde SpeechMediumEUR

Today's Scenario: - The NZD/USD pair experienced selling pressure above the 0.6240 level during the Tokyo session. The New Zealand dollar faced substantial selling interest as the US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounded strongly in anticipation of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell's speech.
The US Dollar Index has displayed a notable recovery following a corrective decline near 103.43. Further upside in the USD Index appears favorable as investors hold significant optimism regarding the raise of the US debt-ceiling limit.

Buy Scenario: - For the NZD/USD pair to gain upward momentum, it needs to surpass the pivot level at 0.6233. If successful, it could target the first major resistance level (R1) at 0.6264, as well as Thursday's high of 0.6269. A move back to 0.6250 would indicate a bullish session. However, positive news regarding the US debt ceiling and favorable NZ trade data are necessary to support a breakout.
In the event of a breakout, the Kiwi could potentially test the second major resistance level (R2) at 0.6300, with additional resistance at the psychological level of 0.63. The third major resistance level (R3) is situated at 0.6331. Till we do not advise to buy NZD/USD.

Sell Scenario: - On the other hand, if the pair fails to surpass the pivot level, the first major support level (S1) at 0.6197 would come into play. Unless there is a risk-off sentiment leading to a significant sell-off, the NZD/USD should remain above the sub-$0.6150 level. The second major support level (S2) at 0.6166 is expected to provide downside support.
The third major support level (S3) is located at 0.6130. Till we do not advise to sell NZD/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 0.6197-R1 0.6264
S2 0.6166-R2 0.6300
S3 0.6130-R3 0.6331

Discussion

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