Daily Analysis For NZD/USD  05-04-2023

Daily Analysis For NZD/USD 05-04-2023

NZD/USD Analysis
NZD/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for NZD/USD
Economic Events : -
GMTEventImpactCurrency
00:00(Australia) Ai Group Industry IndexMediumAUD
00:00(Australia) Judo Bank Services PMIHighAUD
00:00(Australia) Judo Bank Composite PMILowAUD
00:00(Australia) Ai Group Construction IndexLowAUD
00:00(Australia) Ai Group Manufacturing IndexLowAUD
01:00(China) Qingming FestivalNoneCNY
01:01(Ireland) AIB Services PMILowEUR
01:30(Japan) Jibun Bank Services PMIMediumJPY
01:30(Japan) Jibun Bank Composite PMILowJPY
02:30(Australia) RBA Chart PackLowAUD
03:00(New Zealand) RBNZ Interest Rate DecisionMediumNZD
03:30(Australia) RBA Gov Lowe SpeechHighAUD
07:00(Germany) Factory Orders MoMMediumEUR
07:45(France) Industrial Production MoMMediumEUR
08:00(Spain) Industrial Production YoYLowEUR
08:15(Spain) S&P Global Composite PMILowEUR
08:15(Spain) S&P Global Services PMIHighEUR
08:45(Italy) S&P Global Services PMIHighEUR
08:45(Italy) S&P Global Composite PMILowEUR
08:50(France) S&P Global Services PMIMediumEUR
08:50(France) S&P Global Composite PMILowEUR
08:55(Germany) S&P Global Services PMIHighEUR
08:55(Germany) S&P Global Composite PMILowEUR
09:00(Germany) New Car Registrations YoYLowEUR
09:00(Euro Area) S&P Global Composite PMILowEUR
09:00(Euro Area) S&P Global Services PMIHighEUR
09:00(United Kingdom) New Car Sales YoYLowGBP
09:30(United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMIHighGBP
09:30(United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMILowGBP
10:00(France) New Car Registrations YoYLowEUR
10:00(Italy) Retail Sales YoYHighEUR
10:00(Italy) Retail Sales MoMHighEUR
10:00(Cyprus) Construction Output YoYLowEUR
10:00(Cyprus) Current AccountLowEUR
10:30(Germany) 7-Year Bund AuctionLowEUR
11:00(Luxembourg) Inflation Rate YoYLowEUR
11:00(Luxembourg) Inflation Rate MoMLowEUR
11:00(Spain) Consumer ConfidenceMediumEUR
11:00(Ireland) Unemployment RateLowEUR
11:10(European Union) 6-Month Bill AuctionLowEUR
11:10(European Union) 3-Month Bill AuctionLowEUR
12:00(United States) MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateMediumUSD
12:00(United States) MBA Mortgage ApplicationsLowUSD
12:00(United States) MBA Mortgage Market IndexLowUSD
12:00(United States) MBA Mortgage Refinance IndexLowUSD
12:00(United States) MBA Purchase IndexLowUSD
13:15(United States) ADP Employment ChangeHighUSD
13:30(Canada) ImportsLowCAD
13:30(Canada) ExportsLowCAD
13:30(Canada) Balance of TradeHighCAD
13:30(United States) ExportsMediumUSD
13:30(United States) ImportsMediumUSD
13:30(United States) Balance of TradeHighUSD
14:45(United States) S&P Global Composite PMIMediumUSD
14:45(United States) S&P Global Services PMIHighUSD
15:00(United States) ISM Non-Manufacturing Business ActivityLowUSD
15:00(United States) ISM Non-Manufacturing PricesLowUSD
15:00(United States) ISM Non-Manufacturing New OrdersLowUSD
15:00(United States) ISM Non-Manufacturing EmploymentMediumUSD
15:00(United States) ISM Non-Manufacturing PMIHighUSD
15:00(Euro Area) ECB Lane SpeechLowEUR
15:30(United States) EIA Refinery Crude Runs ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Crude Oil Stocks ChangeMediumUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Heating Oil Stocks ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Gasoline Production ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Distillate Stocks ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Crude Oil Imports ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Gasoline Stocks ChangeMediumUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Distillate Fuel Production ChangeLowUSD
16:30(United States) 17-Week Bill AuctionLowUSD
17:00(Canada) 10-Year Bond AuctionLowCAD

Today's Scenario: - The NZD/USD pair has reached a seven-week high of 0.6380 in early Wednesday trading, following the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's decision to increase its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points to 5.25%. The move exceeded market expectations and has provided support for the New Zealand dollar.

Buy Scenario: - The NZD/USD pair has continued to rise and reached a seven-week high of 0.6380 after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) announced a higher than expected 50 basis point increase in its Official Cash Rate (OCR), which is now at 5.25%. The pair's upward momentum is supported by the break above the 100-day moving average and a five-week ascending trend line around 0.6300. Additionally, the bullish MACD signals and RSI (14) not showing overbought levels also favor buyers. Till we do not advise to buy NZD/USD.

Sell Scenario: - The pair could face resistance at multiple levels around 0.6400 and 0.6415-20 before reaching the year-to-date high of around 0.6540, which was marked in February. On the other hand, the short-term downside of the NZD/USD pair is supported by the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.6310 and the previously mentioned resistance-turned-support level of 0.6300. If the pair continues to drop, the one-month-old ascending support line near 0.6230 could come into play. Till we do not advise to sell NZD/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 0.6276-R1 0.6332
S2 0.6240-R2 0.6352
S3 0.6221-R3 0.6388

Discussion

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