Daily Analysis For GOLD (XAU/USD)  28-03-2023

Daily Analysis For GOLD (XAU/USD) 28-03-2023

Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD)
Economic Events and Scenario for XAU/USD (GOLD)
Economic Events :-
GMTEventImpactCurrency
1:30(Australia) Retail Sales MoMHighAUD
4:35(Japan) 40-Year JGB AuctionLowJPY
5:15(Australia) RBA Connolly SpeechMediumAUD
7:00(Lithuania) Retail Sales MoMLowEUR
7:00(Lithuania) Retail Sales YoYLowEUR
7:45(France) Business Climate IndicatorLowEUR
7:45(France) Business ConfidenceMediumEUR
9:00(Italy) Consumer ConfidenceMediumEUR
9:00(Italy) Business ConfidenceMediumEUR
9:35(Euro Area) ECB Enria SpeechMediumEUR
9:45(United Kingdom) BoE Gov Bailey SpeechMediumGBP
10:10(Italy) Index-Linked BTP AuctionLowEUR
10:10(Italy) BTP Short TermLowEUR
10:10(Italy) 10-Year BTP Short Term AuctionLowEUR
10:30(Germany) 2-Year Schatz AuctionLowEUR
11:00(Ireland) Retail Sales YoYLowEUR
11:00(Ireland) Retail Sales MoMLowEUR
11:00(Luxembourg) Balance of TradeLowEUR
13:30(United States) Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoMMediumUSD
13:30(United States) Goods Trade BalanceHighUSD
13:30(United States) Wholesale Inventories MoMMediumUSD
13:55(United States) Redbook YoYLowUSD
14:00(United States) House Price Index YoYLowUSD
14:00(United States) House Price IndexLowUSD
14:00(United States) S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoYMediumUSD
14:00(United States) S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoMMediumUSD
14:00(United States) House Price Index MoMLowUSD
15:00(United States) CB Consumer ConfidenceMediumUSD
15:00(United States) Richmond Fed Manufacturing Shipments IndexLowUSD
15:00(United States) Richmond Fed Manufacturing IndexLowUSD
15:00(United States) Richmond Fed Services IndexLowUSD
15:00(United States) Fed Barr TestimonyMediumUSD

Today's Scenario: - Gold prices are rebounding slightly after two consecutive days of significant drops. This can be attributed to a decrease in the value of the United States Dollar (USD) and a retreat in US Treasury bond yields in the early hours of Tuesday.

Buy Scenario: - If gold manages to stay above the $1,960 support level, buyers may attempt to push the price towards the Fibonacci 61.8% level on the one-day chart and the 5-day moving average, which is around $1,968.
If the XAU/USD manages to break above $1,968, the Fibonacci 61.8% level on the one-week chart, located near $1,981, could be the final barrier for the gold bears. Till we did not advise to buy XAU/USD.

Selling Scenario: - According to our Technical Confluence Detector, Gold is hovering around the $1,960 level, which is a significant trading zone including the previous monthly high and 200-hour moving average (HMA). The middle band of the Bollinger on the 15-minute chart is also reinforcing this trading filter.
Given the current bearish sentiment, if the price manages to break below the $1,960 support level, it could quickly drop towards the support confluence at $1,951, which includes the Fibonacci 23.6% on one-week and one-day.
Subsequently, the pivot point one-week S1 at around $1,938 and the previous weekly low near $1,936 could challenge the Gold bears. We do not advise selling XAU/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 1940.32-R1 1976.99
S2 1923.86-R2 1997.20
S3 1903.65-R3 2013.66

Discussion

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