Daily Analysis For GOLD (XAU/USD)  15-03-2023

Daily Analysis For GOLD (XAU/USD) 15-03-2023

Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD)
Economic Events and Scenario for XAU/USD (GOLD)
Economic Events :-
GMTEventCurrency
11:30-(United States) MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateUSD
12:30-(United States) NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexUSD
12:30-(United States) PPI MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Core PPI MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Retail Sales MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Retail Sales YoYUSD
12:30-(United States) Retail Sales Ex Autos MoMUSD
14:00-(United States) NAHB Housing Market IndexUSD
14:00-(United States) Business Inventories MoMUSD
14:30-(United States) EIA Crude Oil Stocks ChangeUSD
14:30-(United States) EIA Gasoline Stocks ChangeUSD
20:30-(United States) Net Long-term TIC FlowsUSD

Today's Scenario: - Gold is currently trading at levels above $1,900, with a relatively weaker US Dollar and a positive outlook on risk sentiment. Investors were reassured by the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Tuesday, as it was in line with expectations.

Buy Scenario: - Based on the daily chart analysis of XAU/USD, it appears that the metal is poised to continue its upward momentum in the upcoming trading sessions. The bullish moving averages provide a strong foundation for its growth, even though the technical indicators have lost some of their bullish strength. Despite this, the indicators are consolidating near overbought levels and are not showing any signs of upward exhaustion.
Additionally, XAU/USD has managed to maintain its position above the crucial $1,900 level. This level is further reinforced by the fact that it is holding above the 61.8% retracement of its latest daily decline, which occurred between $1,959.75 and $1,804.70. This retracement level stands at $1,900.30, which suggests that the metal's risk is skewed to the upside.
All in all, the current market conditions suggest that XAU/USD may continue to rise in the near future, making it an attractive option for investors who are looking to make a profit. Till we did not advise to buy XAU/USD.

Selling Scenario: - Despite successfully crossing the 200-bar Simple Moving Average (SMA), the price of Gold has been unable to surpass a previous support level that was set two months ago at around $1,913 by the press time.
The XAU/USD pullback can be attributed to the overbought conditions of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) line, which is currently positioned at 14. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) indicator is showing diminishing bullish signals.
It is important to note that the Gold bears are currently facing a major obstacle at the $1,900 threshold. However, in the event of a further decline, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the metal’s February month downturn, situated around $1,880, may serve as an additional downside filter before directing the XAU/USD towards the 200 and 50 SMAs, which are located at approximately $1,860 and $1,850, respectively. We do not advise selling XAU/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 1631-R1 1706
S2 1611-R2 1730
S3 1560-R3 1791

Discussion

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