Daily Analysis For GOLD (XAU/USD)  08-03-2023

Daily Analysis For GOLD (XAU/USD) 08-03-2023

Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD)
Economic Events and Scenario for XAU/USD (GOLD)
Economic Events :-
GMTEventCurrency
12:00-(United States) MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateUSD
13:15-(United States) ADP Employment ChangeUSD
13:30-(United States) ExportsUSD
13:30-(United States) ImportsUSD
13:30-(United States) Balance of TradeUSD
15:00-(United States) JOLTs Job OpeningsUSD
15:00-(United States) Fed Chair Powell TestimonyUSD
15:30-(United States) EIA Crude Oil Stocks ChangeUSD
15:30-(United States) EIA Gasoline Stocks ChangeUSD

Today's Scenario: - The price of gold has fallen for the third day in a row, reaching its lowest level in a week, due to a strong US Dollar. The yellow metal experienced its biggest drop in a month on the previous day following a surprising statement from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell.

Buy Scenario: - On the upside, the horizontal support-turned-resistance at $1,817 could limit immediate upside, but a break could shift focus back to the 200-EMA level around $1,851. The February 09 high and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level near $1,890 and the $1,900 round figure respectively could act as the last defense for XAU/USD bears. Overall, the downside potential for gold appears limited at this point. Till we did not advise to buy XAU/USD.

Selling Scenario: - Last week, the price of gold saw a bearish reversal from the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and subsequently broke through a 13-day-old horizontal support, which has now turned into resistance at around $1,817. This occurred after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell delivered his first round of Semi-Annual Testimony on Monetary Policy.
The Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) indicator is showing bearish signals, indicating that further downside movement for XAU/USD is likely.
However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) line, placed at 14, is approaching the oversold territory, which suggests that the decline of the gold price may pause.
If XAU/USD drops below the $1,800 round figure, the market's attention may turn to the previous monthly low of around $1,804 and the $1,800 threshold. Additionally, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the metal's moves between February 02 to March 06, around $1,787, could also act as a potential target for gold bears. We do not advise selling XAU/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 1631-R1 1706
S2 1611-R2 1730
S3 1560-R3 1791

Discussion

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