Daily Analysis For GBP/USD  16-02-2023

Daily Analysis For GBP/USD 16-02-2023

GBP/USD Analysis
GBP/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for GBP/USD
Economic Events : -
GMTEventCurrency
13:30-(United States) Housing Starts MoMUSD
13:30-(United States) Building Permits MoMUSD
13:30-(United States) Building PermitsUSD
13:30-(United States) Housing StartsUSD
13:30-(United States) Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing IndexUSD
13:30-(United States) Jobless Claims 4-week AverageUSD
13:30-(United States) Continuing Jobless ClaimsUSD
13:30-(United States) Initial Jobless ClaimsUSD
13:30-(United States) PPI MoMUSD
13:30-(United States) Core PPI MoMUSD
13:45-(United States) Fed Mester SpeechUSD
17:00-(United Kingdom) BoE Pill SpeechGBP
18:30-(United States) Fed Bullard SpeechUSD
21:00-(United States) Fed Cook SpeechUSD
23:00-(United States) Fed Mester SpeechUSD

Today's Scenario : - During the slow early hours of trading on Thursday, the GBP/USD seesaws near the intraday high of 1.2044 as it cuts back on the previous day's significant losses. However, the UK data, which threw cold water on Bank of England (BoE) hawks, caused the Cable pair to fall the most in a fortnight the day before.

Buy Scenario : - The GBP/USD price is still firmer than the 50-DMA; attention will be focused on a one-month-old horizontal resistance at 1.2260, which is crucial for the Cable pair's ascent to the numerous peaks recorded since late 2022 about 1.2450. GBP/USD is expected to stay weak overall, although the downside seems constrained, still we do not advise to buy GBP/USD currency pair.

Sell Scenario: - Thus, after plunging the most in a week, the Cable pair recovers from a six-week-old support line. However, given the extended U-turn from the 50-DMA and the bearish MACD indications, the recovery moves continue to be illusive. However, it's important to keep in mind that the GBP/USD pair's short-term downside is constrained by the rising support lines from early January and mid-November 2022, respectively, at 1.2000 and 1.1985 in that order. The bears then focus their attention primarily on the 200-DMA level of 1.1940 with the goal of reaching the mid-November 2022 bottom at 1.1760. The previous monthly low at 1.1840, though, may provide a temporary halt this decline. GBP/USD rebound is still difficult to achieve in the meantime until it clears the 50-DMA barrier at 1.2180. Till then we do not advise selling GBP/USD.

Support and Resistance Level : -
SupportResistance
S1 1.0840-R1 1.1400
S2 1.0679-R2 1.1650
S3 1.0520-R3 1.1843

Discussion

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