Daily Analysis For GBP/USD  15-03-2023

Daily Analysis For GBP/USD 15-03-2023

GBP/USD Analysis
GBP/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for GBP/USD
Economic Events: -
GMTEventCurrency
11:30-(United States) MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateUSD
12:30-(United States) NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexUSD
12:30-(United States) PPI MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Core PPI MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Retail Sales MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Retail Sales YoYUSD
12:30-(United States) Retail Sales Ex Autos MoMUSD
12:30-(United Kingdom) Spring Budget 2023GBP
14:00-(United States) NAHB Housing Market IndexUSD
14:00-(United States) Business Inventories MoMUSD
14:30-(United States) EIA Crude Oil Stocks ChangeUSD
14:30-(United States) EIA Gasoline Stocks ChangeUSD
20:30-(United States) Net Long-term TIC FlowsUSD

Today's Scenario: - During the Asian session, the GBP/USD pair was able to maintain its support level around 1.2150. However, there is a high likelihood of increased volatility for the cable as the UK Finance Minister prepares to announce the fiscal budget for CY2023.
Investors and traders will likely closely monitor the announcement for any hints or clues regarding the UK government's economic policies, which could impact the value of the British Pound and the overall direction of the GBP/USD pair.
As a result, traders should exercise caution and be prepared for potential price swings in the GBP/USD pair in response to the fiscal budget announcement.

Buy Scenario: - Looking at the upside potential for the GBP/USD pair, the area around 1.2270, which served as a high point in February, is a key resistance level to watch. If this level is breached, the next round figures of 1.2300 and 1.2350 will likely be tested before directing the pair towards the yearly high, which was reached in February at around 1.2450.
Despite snapping a four-day uptrend and pulling back from a one-month high in the previous session, the GBP/USD pair remains on the radar of bullish traders. This suggests that there is still potential for further upside momentum in the pair. Till we do not advise to buy in GBP/USD.

Sell Scenario: - In terms of technical indicators for the GBP/USD pair, there is a convergence of the 50-day moving average (DMA) and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level from November 2022 to February 2023, around 1.2135. Additionally, bullish signals from the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and the relative strength index (RSI) are also favorable for buyers of the Cable pair. Notably, the RSI is not indicating an overbought condition.
If the pair were to break below the 1.2135 support level, the resistance-turned-support line from mid-February at around 1.2005 would provide additional downside support.
However, it's important to note that for GBP/USD bears to gain control, validation from the 50% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.1800 would be required. Moreover, previous lows from January and last week at approximately 1.1840 and 1.1805, respectively, could act as additional support levels if the pair experiences further downside. Till then we do not advise selling GBP/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 1.2007-R1 1.2108
S2 1.1970-R2 1.2172
S3 1.1906-R3 1.2209

Discussion

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