Daily Analysis For GBP/USD  09-03-2023

Daily Analysis For GBP/USD 09-03-2023

GBP/USD Analysis
GBP/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for GBP/USD
Economic Events: -
GMTEventCurrency
00:01-(United Kingdom) RICS House Price BalanceGBP
12:30-(United States) Challenger Job CutsUSD
13:30-(United States) Jobless Claims 4-week AverageUSD
13:30-(United States) Continuing Jobless ClaimsUSD
13:30-(United States) Initial Jobless ClaimsUSD
15:00-(United States) Fed Barr SpeechUSD
15:40-(United States) EIA Natural Gas Stocks ChangeUSD
16:30-(United States) 8-Week Bill AuctionUSD
16:30-(United States) 4-Week Bill AuctionUSD
18:00-(United States) 30-Year Bond AuctionUSD

Today's Scenario: - In the Asian trading session, the GBP/USD pair is hovering close to the immediate resistance level of 1.1850. Although the Cable is currently gaining momentum to surpass this resistance, the likelihood of a resumption of the downside is higher.

Buy Scenario: - The immediate recovery of GBP/USD is limited by the 200-day moving average (DMA) obstacle of around 1.1900 before emphasizing the support-turned-resistance line that is located close to 1.1935.
Even if the Cable pair manages to surpass this hurdle at 1.1935, there is a downward-sloping resistance line from early February, situated around 1.2055, which could serve as the last defense of the GBP/USD bears.
To summarize, despite the recent rebound and the bullish candlestick formation, GBP/USD remains a focus for bears. Till we do not advise to buy in GBP/USD.

Sell Scenario: - GBP/USD is struggling to extend the corrective bounce from the previous day, which began after hitting the lowest levels since November 21, 2022. The pair is hovering around 1.1850 in Thursday morning's Asian session.
As a result, the bullish spinning top candlestick on the daily chart from the previous day is not being supported by the current price action. This could be due to the Cable pair's sustained downside break of a 15-week-old ascending trend line, previous support at 1.1935, and the 200-day moving average breakdown. Additionally, the bearish MACD signals add strength to the downside bias.
In light of this, the GBP/USD pair's fresh weakness could target the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the upside from November 2022 to January 2023, which is located near 1.1800.
Afterward, a decline toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level around 1.1645, also known as the golden ratio, cannot be ruled out. Till then we do not advise selling GBP/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 1.2007-R1 1.2108
S2 1.1970-R2 1.2172
S3 1.1906-R3 1.2209

Discussion

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