Daily Analysis For GBP/USD  08-03-2023

Daily Analysis For GBP/USD 08-03-2023

GBP/USD Analysis
GBP/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for GBP/USD
Economic Events: -
GMTEventCurrency
12:00-(United States) MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateUSD
13:15-(United States) ADP Employment ChangeUSD
13:30-(United States) ExportsUSD
13:30-(United States) ImportsUSD
13:30-(United States) Balance of TradeUSD
15:00-(United States) JOLTs Job OpeningsUSD
15:00-(United States) Fed Chair Powell TestimonyUSD
15:30-(United States) EIA Crude Oil Stocks ChangeUSD
15:30-(United States) EIA Gasoline Stocks ChangeUSD

Today's Scenario: - The GBP/USD currency pair experienced significant selling pressure, leading to a drop of more than 240 pips from its multi-day high of 1.2065, which was achieved on Tuesday. This decline was primarily due to the substantial rally of the US Dollar, which was triggered by Jerome Powell's hawkish comments. In response to Powell's remarks, the USD Index surged to a three-month high, leading to a significant drop in the GBP/USD currency pair.

Buy Scenario: - If the GBP/USD currency pair manages to break above the high of February 24th, situated at 1.2040, it is likely to continue its upward trend towards the high of February 23rd, located at approximately 1.2080. A successful breach of this level would indicate further bullish sentiment, potentially leading to a surge towards the high of February 21st, which is situated around 1.2140. Till we do not advise to buy in GBP/USD.

Sell Scenario: - The GBP/USD currency pair has been trading within a range of 1.1914-1.2150 for the past three months. However, a recent breakdown from this range has resulted in a large consolidation breakdown. As a result, the asset is expected to continue its downward trend towards the horizontal support level, plotted from the high of November 08, situated around 1.1600.
It is important to note that the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) located at 1.1960 is expected to act as a significant barrier for the Pound Sterling, potentially limiting any upward momentum.
Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has dropped into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, indicating a shift in the market sentiment towards a more bearish outlook.
If the GBP/USD currency pair breaks below the round-level support level of 1.1800, it is likely to continue its downward trajectory, with the US Dollar bulls driving the asset towards the November 17 low at 1.17633, followed by the November 14 low around 1.1700. Till then we do not advise selling GBP/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 1.2007-R1 1.2108
S2 1.1970-R2 1.2172
S3 1.1906-R3 1.2209

Discussion

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