Daily Analysis For GBP/USD  04-04-2023

Daily Analysis For GBP/USD 04-04-2023

GBP/USD Analysis
GBP/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for GBP/USD
Economic Events: -
GMTEventImpactCurrency
04:35(Japan) 10-Year JGB AuctionLowJPY
05:30(Australia) RBA Interest Rate DecisionHighAUD
07:00(Germany) Imports MoM s.aLowEUR
07:00(Germany) Exports MoM s.aLowEUR
07:00(Germany) Balance of Trade s.aLowEUR
08:00(Spain) Unemployment ChangeHighEUR
09:00(Euro Area) ECB Consumer Expectations SurveyMediumEUR
09:30(Slovenia) Balance of TradeLowEUR
10:00(Euro Area) PPI MoMLowEUR
10:00(Euro Area) PPI YoYLowEUR
10:00(France) New Car Registrations YoYLowEUR
10:00(Cyprus) Current AccountLowEUR
10:30(Germany) Index-Linked Bund AuctionLowEUR
10:30(United States) LMI Logistics Managers Index CurrentLowUSD
10:30(Germany) 30-Year Bund/€i AuctionLowEUR
11:30(Portugal) Budget BalanceLowEUR
13:30(Canada) Building Permits MoMLowCAD
13:55(United States) Redbook YoYLowUSD
15:00(United States) JOLTs Job QuitsLowUSD
15:00(United States) JOLTs Job OpeningsHighUSD
15:00(United States) Factory Orders ex TransportationLowUSD
15:00(United States) Factory Orders MoMMediumUSD
15:00(United States) IBD/TIPP Economic OptimismMediumUSD
15:30(United Kingdom) BoE Pill SpeechMediumGBP
16:00(New Zealand) Global Dairy Trade Price IndexLowNZD
17:00(Belgium) New Car Registrations YoYLowEUR
17:30(United Kingdom) BoE Financial Policy Summary and RecordMediumGBP
18:30(United States) Fed Cook SpeechMediumUSD
21:30(United States) API Crude Oil Stock ChangeMediumUSD
23:45(United States) Fed Mester SpeechMediumUSD

Today's Scenario: - The GBP/USD currency pair has made an effort to recover after experiencing a minor correction to approximately 1.2400 during the Tokyo trading session. The Cable managed to resist any further downward correction, mainly due to a decrease in hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) bets, which were initially spurred by positive oil prices.

Buy Scenario: - The GBP/USD pair is steadily making its way towards the horizontal resistance level, which was established on a daily scale from the December 14 high of 1.2447. The 10- and 20-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) located at 1.2327 and 1.2257, respectively, are both advancing, indicating that the bullish momentum is strong.
Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating within the bullish range of 60.00-80.00. The momentum oscillator is not displaying any signs of divergence or an overbought situation, which further supports the upside bias.
If the GBP/USD pair manages to decisively move above the December 14 high at 1.2447, it will expose the asset to the psychological resistance level at 1.2500, followed by the June 08 high around 1.2600. Till then we do not advise to buy EURUSD.

Sell Scenario: - However, in an alternate scenario, if the pair breaks below the March 23 low at 1.2261, it could accelerate the downside movement towards the round-level support at 1.2200, and the March 10 high at 1.2113.
As always, traders should keep an eye on key technical levels and upcoming economic data releases for any potential shifts in the market sentiment. Till then we do not advise selling GBP/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 1.2317-R1 1.2466
S2 1.2221-R2 1.2519
S3 1.2168-R3 1.2615

Discussion

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