Daily Analysis For GBP/JPY   23-02-2023

Daily Analysis For GBP/JPY 23-02-2023

GBP/JPY Analysis
GBP/JPY
Economic Events and Scenario for GBP/JPY
Economic Events : -
GMTEventCurrency
09:30-(United Kingdom) BoE L Mann SpeechGBP
10:45-(United Kingdom) BoE Cunliffe SpeechGBP
11:00-(United Kingdom) CBI Distributive TradesGBP
23:30-(Japan) Inflation Rate Ex-Food and Energy YoYJPY
23:30-(Japan) Inflation Rate MoMJPY
23:30-(Japan) Core Inflation Rate YoYJPY
23:30-(Japan) Inflation Rate YoYJPY
23:50-(Japan) Foreign Bond InvestmentJPY
23:50-(Japan) Stock Investment by ForeignersJPY

Today's Scenario : - The GBP/JPY pair, which experienced the most significant surge in seven days during early Wednesday, has taken a breather around the 163.30 level. The recent gains of this cross-currency pair could be attributed to the positive data from the UK and the hawkish concerns surrounding the Bank of England (BoE). However, sluggish yields and the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) concerns seem to be putting pressure on the GBP/JPY prices. Additionally, mixed data from both the UK and Japan could challenge the pair's movements.
Earlier today, the Reuters Tankan Manufacturing Index for Japan reported a -5.0 figure for February, down from -6.0 in January. Similarly, the Tankan Non-Manufacturing Index eased to 17 in the same month from the prior month's 20.0 level.

Buy Scenario : - Buying on dips will be the preferred strategy until there is a break through those significant moving averages. On the upside, the market is likely to face resistance at the 165 level, where it sold off sharply and previously found considerable support last year, till we do not advise to buy GBP/JPY.

Sell Scenario: - The 162.50 level, which was previously a resistance area, is now expected to provide support due to the major bottoming pattern that formed over the last couple of months. The interest-rate differential between Great Britain and Japan is significant, as the Bank of Japan continues to limit the rise in interest rates by capping the 10-year yield at 50 basis points. This policy is likely to lead to a weaker yen overall, as seen last year.
If the market retreats below the 162.50 level, it could potentially drop to the 200-day EMA, followed by the 50-day EMA. The confluence of these moving averages is at the 161.50 level, which could provide significant support. The large bottoming pattern that took a long time to form after a major selloff is quite impressive, and coupled with the weakening yen against other currencies, suggests that there may be continued momentum in this market. The sizable candlestick on Tuesday also implies further follow-through. Till we do not advise to sell GBP/JPY.

Support and Resistance Level : -
SupportResistance
S1 162.10-R1 163.27
S2 161.66-R2 164.00
S3 160.92-R3 164.44

Discussion

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