Daily Analysis For GBP/JPY   16-03-2023

Daily Analysis For GBP/JPY 16-03-2023

GBP/JPY Analysis
GBP/JPY
Economic Events and Scenario for GBP/JPY
Economic Events : -
GMTEventCurrency
03:35-(Japan) 20-Year JGB AuctionJPY
03:35-(Japan) 52-Week Bill AuctionJPY
04:30-(Japan) Industrial Production MoMJPY
04:30-(Japan) Industrial Production YoYJPY
04:30-(Japan) Capacity Utilization MoMJPY

Today's Scenario: - GBP/JPY experienced a sharp decline of 1.43% on Wednesday, as concerns over a potential banking crisis intensified following the seizure of two US banks by regulators. In the European trading session, Credit Suisse (CS) experienced a sell-off that caused its CDS to soar due to mounting default risks. However, Swiss authorities intervened to prevent the bank's collapse, cushioning the blow. As a result, GBP/JPY is currently trading at 160.50, showing a marginal gain of 0.03% during the Asian session.

Buy Scenario: - The GBP/JPY currency pair had been trading within a range around the 20, 50, 100, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) before dropping to a new four-week low of 159.20. However, the pair regained some ground and closed the day at 160.77. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a bearish trend, but the Rate of Change (RoC) showed some relief from selling pressure at the end of the trading day, leading to a sideways path of least resistance.
If the GBP/JPY pair moves upwards, the first resistance it could face is at the 161.00 level. Crossing above this area could expose the daily EMAs' confluence, led by the 50 and 200-day EMAs at 161.75 and 161.94, respectively. Once these levels are cleared, the next target could be the 20-day EMA at 162.00. Till we do not advise to buy GBP/JPY.

Sell Scenario: - If the bearish momentum in GBP/JPY continues, the pair needs to break below the low it made on March 13 at 160.04. If that level is breached, the next support level to watch is at the low made on March 15 at 159.20. If the selling pressure persists, the psychological support level at 159.00 may come into play. Till we do not advise to sell GBP/JPY.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 162.10-R1 163.27
S2 161.66-R2 164.00
S3 160.92-R3 164.44

Discussion

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