Daily Analysis For GBP/JPY   07-03-2023

Daily Analysis For GBP/JPY 07-03-2023

GBP/JPY Analysis
GBP/JPY
Economic Events and Scenario for GBP/JPY
Economic Events : -
GMTEventCurrency
00:01-(United Kingdom) BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoYGBP
03:35-(Japan) 30-Year JGB AuctionJPY
07:00-(United Kingdom) Halifax House Price Index MoMGBP
07:00-(United Kingdom) Halifax House Price Index YoYGBP
10:00-(United Kingdom) 3-Year Treasury Gilt AuctionGBP
11:00-(United Kingdom) BBA Mortgage RateGBP
23:50-(Japan) Bank Lending YoYJPY
23:50-(Japan) Current AccountJPY

Today's Scenario: - GBP/JPY is trading around 163.50 in early Tuesday trading, after closing below a one-month-old support line, which is now acting as resistance. This trend line breakdown, combined with the declining bullish sentiment of the MACD, is giving sellers hope for further declines in the cross-currency pair.

Buy Scenario: - GBP/JPY is currently trading around 163.50, and after breaking below a one-month-old support line, it has turned into a resistance level. The MACD is also showing a decline in bullish sentiment, which could support the sellers.
However, the cross-currency pair could face resistance around 163.80-90 due to a support-turned-resistance line from early February and a downward-sloping trend line resistance from October 31, 2022. Additionally, the 164.00 round figure could act as an obstacle for the pair's buyers.
If the GBP/JPY manages to break above 164.00, it could target February's high near 166.00. A successful break of this level could lead to a further upside towards the late 2022 peak around 169.30 before touching the 170.00 round figure.
Despite the 200-day EMA potentially challenging the sellers, GBP/JPY may still remain on their radar. Till we do not advise to buy GBP/JPY.

Sell Scenario: - The GBP/JPY pair has an important short-term support level at the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 162.00. If the pair continues to decline, it may face support at various levels including 161.60, 161.00, and the key psychological level of 160.00.
If the pair manages to break below 160.00, then the next important support level would be the two-month-old ascending support line at around 159.00. Overall, the GBP/JPY pair is expected to remain under pressure from the bears, with the 200-day EMA providing resistance to any potential rallies. Till we do not advise to sell GBP/JPY.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 162.10-R1 163.27
S2 161.66-R2 164.00
S3 160.92-R3 164.44

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