Daily Analysis For GBP/JPY   03-03-2023

Daily Analysis For GBP/JPY 03-03-2023

GBP/JPY Analysis
GBP/JPY
Economic Events and Scenario for GBP/JPY
Economic Events : -
GMTEventCurrency
00:30-(Japan) Jibun Bank Services PMIJPY
00:30-(Japan) Jibun Bank Composite PMIJPY
03:35-(Japan) 3-Month Bill AuctionJPY
09:30-(United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMIGBP
09:30-(United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMIGBP
16:00-(United Kingdom) BoE Hauser SpeechGBP

Today's Scenario : - The GBP/JPY pair faced rejection near the 163.90 level and has dropped towards the mid-range between 163.00 and 164.00 as the Asian Pacific session is about to start. This move was triggered by a risk-off sentiment in the FX market, which led to an increase in demand for safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese Yen (JPY). As of now, the GBP/JPY pair is trading at 163.30.

Buy Scenario : - The GBP/JPY pair reached a peak around 166.00 earlier this week before experiencing a decline below 164.00. However, the bias remains neutral to bullish, with the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) currently pointing upward at 162.00 and only 16 pips away from the 100-day EMA. If the 20-day EMA is surpassed, the GBP/JPY may continue to rise, although it will encounter strong resistance at a five-month-old descending resistance trendline around 164.00.
The GBP/JPY must break through this trendline for a bullish continuation. If this is accomplished, the next resistance levels to watch out for are the psychological 165.00 level, followed by the Year-To-Date (YTD) high at 166.00. Till we do not advise to buy GBP/JPY.

Sell Scenario: - If the GBP/JPY fails to hold above the upslope trendline from mid-February, it could face downside pressure towards the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 162.16, and then the 20-day EMA at 162.00. A breach of these levels could see the pair testing the 161.00 psychological support, which also coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent uptrend from 157.99 to 164.47. A further downside break may expose the 160.00 handle. Till we do not advise to sell GBP/JPY.

Support and Resistance Level : -
SupportResistance
S1 162.10-R1 163.27
S2 161.66-R2 164.00
S3 160.92-R3 164.44

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