Daily Analysis For EUR/USD  31-01-2023

Daily Analysis For EUR/USD 31-01-2023

EUR/USD Analysis
EUR/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for EUR/USD
Economic Events : -
GMTEventCurrency
07:00-(Germany) Retail Sales MoMEUR
07:00-(Germany) Retail Sales YoYEUR
07:45-(France) Inflation Rate YoYEUR
08:55-(Germany) Unemployment RateEUR
08:55-(Germany) Unemployment ChangeEUR
09:00-(Italy) Unemployment RateEUR
10:00-(Greece) Retail Sales YoYEUR
13:30-(United States) Employment Cost Index QoQUSD
13:30-(United States) Employment Cost - Wages QoQUSD
13:30-(United States) Employment Cost - Benefits QoQUSD
14:00-(United States) S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoYUSD
14:00-(United States) S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoMUSD
14:45-(United States) Chicago PMIUSD
15:00-(United States) CB Consumer ConfidenceUSD
21:30-(United States) API Crude Oil Stock ChangeUSD

Today's Scenario : - After a frenzied selling action by market players at 1.0860, the EUR/USD pair has continued to decline below 1.0850. As the US Dollar Index (DXY) has showed an outstanding comeback after correcting to close to 101.80, the pullback move displayed by the common currency pair attracted sizeable offers.

Buy Scenario : - The daily chart shows that the EUR/USD pair is trading close to the bottom of its most recent range while still being bullish. The pair is continuing to rise above a positive 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA), which has allowed it to continue above a crucial level of long-term support at 1.0745, the 61.8% retracement of its 2022 annual fall. The 200 SMA and 100 SMA are both over 500 pip below the present level and are attempting to cross above each other at the same time. Last but not least, technical indicators remain directionless inside positive ranges, tilting the risk upward without indicating an impending move north, still we do not advise to buy EUR/USD currency pair.

Sell Scenario: - Although its negative velocity is modest, the EUR/USD turned bearish. The 20 SMA was level, and the pair briefly traded above it before easing below it. While the Momentum indicator floats aimlessly just below the 100 line, the 100 and 200 SMAs continue to rise, far below the present level. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) firmly swung lower and is presently at 45, indicating a short-term slide, especially if the pair continues to fall below 1.0830. Till then we do not advise selling EUR/USD.

Support and Resistance Level : -
SupportResistance
S1 1.0830-R1 1.0880
S2 1.0785-R2 1.0930
S3 1.0745-R3 1.0965

Discussion

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