Daily Analysis For EUR/USD  22-02-2023

Daily Analysis For EUR/USD 22-02-2023

EUR/USD Analysis
EUR/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for EUR/USD
Economic Events : -
GMTEventCurrency
07:00-(Germany) Inflation Rate MoMEUR
07:00-(Germany) Inflation Rate YoYEUR
07:00-(Germany) CPIEUR
07:45-(France) Business ConfidenceEUR
08:00-(Euro Area) ECB Non-Monetary Policy MeetingEUR
09:00-(Germany) Ifo Business ClimateEUR
09:00-(Italy) Inflation Rate YoYEUR
09:00-(Italy) CPIEUR
10:30-(Germany) 10-Year Bund AuctionEUR
12:00-(United States) MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateUSD
19:00-(United States) FOMC MinutesUSD
21:30-(United States) API Crude Oil Stock ChangeUSD
23:30-(United States) Fed Williams SpeechUSD

Today's Scenario : - On early Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair experienced a pullback from its intraday high at 1.0650, marking its first positive day in three. The initial gains of the Euro against the US Dollar could be attributed to the latter's retreat as investors adopt a cautious stance ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes.
To elaborate, market participants are anticipating the release of the FOMC's minutes, which are expected to provide insights into the central bank's monetary policy stance. As such, investors are exercising caution in their trading activities, resulting in the US Dollar's retreat.
It remains to be seen how the EUR/USD currency pair will perform in the coming days, as market sentiment is heavily influenced by the outcome of the FOMC meeting. Nonetheless, traders and investors are closely monitoring the situation and making informed decisions based on market conditions.

Buy Scenario : - Ahead of the Asian market opening, the EUR/USD currency pair is experiencing persistent selling pressure, with prices testing their daily lows. On the daily chart, the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) is showing downward momentum above the current price level and is nearing a strong static resistance level at 1.0745, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 2022 decline. Technical indicators are firmly pointing to the downside, with negative levels and fresh multi-month lows indicating further declines in the near future, still we do not advise to buy EUR/USD currency pair.

Sell Scenario: - Similarly, the 4-hour chart supports a continuation of the bearish trend, with a bearish 20 SMA capping any upward movement while gaining bearish traction below longer SMAs. As of now, the Momentum indicator is hovering around its midline, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is accelerating lower and currently sitting at around 39. A clear break below the February low at 1.0612 would reinforce the bearish case. Till then we do not advise selling EUR/USD.

Support and Resistance Level : -
SupportResistance
S2 1.0610-R2 1.0700
S3 1.0570-R3 1.0745
S1 1.0525-R1 1.0790

Discussion

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