Daily Analysis For EUR/USD  18-01-2023

Daily Analysis For EUR/USD 18-01-2023

EUR/USD Analysis
EUR/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for EUR/USD
Economic Events : -
GMTEventCurrency
07:00-(European Union) New Car Registrations YoYEUR
09:00-(Italy) Balance of TradeEUR
10:00-(Euro Area) Construction Output YoYEUR
10:00-(Euro Area) Inflation Rate YoYEUR
10:00-(Euro Area) CPIEUR
13:30-(United States) PPI MoMUSD
13:30-(United States) Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoMUSD
13:30-(United States) Retail Sales YoYUSD
13:30-(United States) Retail Sales Ex Autos MoMUSD
13:30-(United States) Retail Sales MoMUSD

Today's Scenario : - While the price is trading below the 1.0870s, there is still a negative bias in effect. There is a strong chance of a fast move towards 1.0720 for the days to come should the bears commit below the 1.0800 structure, which was breached in trading on Tuesday.

Buy Scenario : - The EUR/USD pair fell for a third day in a row, although it continues to trade above a key Fibonacci support level, the 1.0745 61.8% retracement of the 2022 annual fall. Large stops should build up below the level, and if they are activated, the slump may gain further traction. Technically speaking, the daily EUR/USD chart shows that bulls are still holding out hope. The 20 Simple Rising Average (SMA), which is now at roughly 1.0675 and moving strongly north relative to the lengthier ones, shows that the pair is still growing above its moving averages. While maintaining a reading over the 100 mark, the momentum indicator lacks directional power. Finally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator started to pull down from overbought readings while maintaining bullish levels, still we do not advise to buy EUR/USD currency pair.

Sell Scenario: - The risk is skewing to the downside, according to the short-term picture. The 20 SMA for EUR/USD lost its bullish vigour once it was broken below, and the pair is currently trading about 50 pip below it. The 100 SMA serves as support around roughly 1.0690 while the larger moving averages continue to have positive slopes. The RSI is consolidating at about 47, while the Momentum indicator moved higher but is still below its midline. Till then we do not advise selling EUR/USD.

Support and Resistance Level : -
SupportResistance
S1 1.0745-R1 1.0825
S2 1.0690-R2 1.0870
S3 1.0640-R3 1.0910

Discussion

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