Daily Analysis For EUR/USD  15-02-2023

Daily Analysis For EUR/USD 15-02-2023

EUR/USD Analysis
EUR/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for EUR/USD
Economic Events : -
GMTEventCurrency
06:00-(Estonia) Unemployment RateEUR
08:00-(Spain) CPIEUR
09:00-(France) IEA Oil Market ReportEUR
10:00-(Euro Area) Industrial Production MoMEUR
10:00-(Euro Area) Balance of TradeEUR
12:00-(United States) MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateUSD
13:30-(United States) Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoMUSD
13:30-(United States) Retail Sales YoYUSD
13:30-(United States) Retail Sales Ex Autos MoMUSD
13:30-(United States) Retail Sales MoMUSD
13:30-(United States) NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexUSD
14:00-(Euro Area) ECB President Lagarde SpeechEUR
14:15-(United States) Industrial Production YoYUSD
14:15-(United States) Industrial Production MoMUSD
15:00-(United States) Business Inventories MoMUSD
15:00-(United States) NAHB Housing Market IndexUSD
15:30-(United States) EIA Crude Oil Stocks ChangeUSD
15:30-(United States) EIA Gasoline Stocks ChangeUSD
21:00-(United States) Net Long-term TIC FlowsUSD

Today's Scenario : - Following a tumultuous Wednesday that originally refilled the weekly peak before posting a 100-pip decline and bouncing off 1.0706, EUR/USD oscillates around 1.0730. The main currency pair lacks clarity but defends the Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers' aggressive stance on interest rates.

Buy Scenario : - The main currency pair first reversed from the weekly high at 1.0800 after bouncing off 1.0706 the day before. This allowed the quotation to stay inside of a megaphone chart formation, a trend-widening pattern, for a full week. Along with the megaphone chart pattern, the stable RSI (14) line and positive MACD indications increase the likelihood that the EUR/USD pair will continue to trade sideways with an extending range. However, the EUR/USD pair's short-term upside is constrained by the 200-Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair's January-February movements, which are located respectively at 1.0780 and 1.0760. Following that, it will be vital for the pair purchasers to keep an eye on the indicated megaphone's top line, which is near to 1.0810 at press time, still we do not advise to buy EUR/USD currency pair.

Sell Scenario: - On the other hand, for the EUR/USD bears to remain confident, a downside breach of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, also known as the golden ratio, at 1.0690, becomes essential. However, the downside of the quotation may be tested by the bottom line of the aforementioned trend-widening pattern, which is near 1.0655. If EUR/USD continues to trend lower beyond 1.0655, it is possible that prices may decline gradually approaching the previous monthly low of 1.0480. Till then we do not advise selling EUR/USD.

Support and Resistance Level : -
SupportResistance
S1 1.0700-R1 1.0790
S2 1.0655-R2 1.0830
S3 1.0620-R3 1.0880

Discussion

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