Daily Analysis For EUR/USD  14-03-2023

Daily Analysis For EUR/USD 14-03-2023

EUR/USD Analysis
EUR/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for EUR/USD
Economic Events: -
GMTEventCurrency
08:00-(European Union) ECOFIN MeetingEUR
08:00-(Spain) CPIEUR
09:00-(Italy) Industrial Production MoMEUR
12:30-(United States) CPIUSD
12:30-(United States) Inflation Rate MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Core Inflation Rate MoMUSD
12:30-(United States) Inflation Rate YoYUSD
12:30-(United States) Core Inflation Rate YoYUSD
12:30-(United States) CPI s.aUSD
20:30-(United States) API Crude Oil Stock ChangeUSD
21:20-(United States) Fed Bowman SpeechUSD

Today's Scenario: - In the early hours of the European market, the EUR/USD currency pair appears to be finding support near the significant round-level mark of 1.0700. Following a slight uptick towards 1.0740, the pair has since undergone a correction due to exhaustion in the upward momentum. With the upcoming release of US inflation data, the major currency pair is expected to remain in a state of cautious anticipation.

Buy Scenario: - The EUR/USD exchange rate experienced a notable rebound from its February low of 1.0537 and has since been surging upwards with intensity. The recent depreciation of the US Dollar is the driving force behind the pair's rise above the significant 1.0700 level, which has been repeatedly tested on the daily chart.
Currently, the pair is hovering around the 50-Daily Moving Average (DMA) near the 1.0727 level, which is acting as a resistance point and limiting further price gains.
As long as US Treasury bond yields continue to decline, the EUR/USD is expected to maintain its bullish trend. If the pair manages to break above the 50-DMA convincingly, it will likely advance towards the next support zone and a crucial psychological level at 1.0800, still we do not advise to buy EUR/USD currency pair.

Sell Scenario: - On the downside, any retreat in the EUR/USD is likely to be restrained by the 21-DMA and the previous day's low at 1.0645, which aligns with the support level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering in the neutral zone around 50, indicating a potential for further gains in the currency pair.
The declining prospects of aggressive interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve (FED) due to the fallout of the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) are expected to keep the US Dollar on a downward trajectory for the time being. The upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release will be critical for the EUR/USD pair, as it provides insights before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on March 22.Till then we do not advise selling EUR/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 1.0580-R1 1.0645
S2 1.0557-R2 1.0687
S3 1.0515-R3 1.0710

Discussion

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