Daily Analysis For EUR/USD  13-03-2023

Daily Analysis For EUR/USD 13-03-2023

EUR/USD Analysis
EUR/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for EUR/USD
Economic Events: -
GMTEventCurrency
00:00-(Euro Area) Eurogroup MeetingEUR
01:01-(Ireland) Construction PMIEUR
06:00-(Estonia) Balance of TradeEUR
08:00-(Slovakia) Construction Output YoYEUR
08:00-(European Union) Myfxbook EURUSD SentimentEUR
10:00-(Greece) Inflation Rate YoYEUR
10:00-(Greece) Harmonised Inflation Rate YoYEUR
10:00-(Greece) Inflation Rate MoMEUR
10:00-(Malta) Unemployment RateEUR
10:30-(Cyprus) Balance of TradeEUR
10:30-(Germany) 6-Month Bubill AuctionEUR
11:00-(Latvia) Balance of TradeEUR
11:00-(Portugal) Balance of TradeEUR
13:00-(Ecuador) Balance of TradeUSD
14:00-(France) 3-Month BTF AuctionEUR
14:00-(France) 12-Month BTF AuctionEUR
14:00-(France) 6-Month BTF AuctionEUR
15:00-(United States) Consumer Inflation ExpectationsUSD
15:30-(United States) 3-Month Bill AuctionUSD
15:30-(United States) 6-Month Bill AuctionUSD

Today's Scenario: - In early Europe, the EUR/USD currency pair is maintaining its sturdy gains above the 1.0700 level. The resurgence of risk appetite is putting downward pressure on the US Dollar, which is considered a safe-haven currency, as investors renew their bets on a dovish Federal Reserve. Efforts by US regulators to manage the potential dangers in financial markets related to SVB and Signature Bank have boosted the market's risk profile.
The next significant event to watch for is the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which will provide insights into the country's inflationary pressures. Any surprises in the data could have a significant impact on the currency pair's future direction.

Buy Scenario: - Despite the EUR/USD recording higher highs on price, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) 14 is showing a lower high. This indicates a lack of sufficient bullish momentum to overcome the immediate key hurdle, which is the 200-SMA level situated around 1.0710.
In the event that the EUR/USD manages to break above the 1.0710 resistance level, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of its downside from early February to March, around 1.0780, will come into play before the mid-February swing high near 1.0810 can be challenged by the bulls, still we do not advise to buy EUR/USD currency pair.

Sell Scenario: - On the downside, a pullback for the EUR/USD is unlikely unless the currency pair remains above the 100-SMA support of 1.0620. If the price falls below this level, the focus will shift to an upward-sloping trend line from last Wednesday, which is currently near 1.0585. Till then we do not advise selling EUR/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 1.0580-R1 1.0645
S2 1.0557-R2 1.0687
S3 1.0515-R3 1.0710

Discussion

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