Daily Analysis For EUR/USD  10-03-2023

Daily Analysis For EUR/USD 10-03-2023

EUR/USD Analysis
EUR/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for EUR/USD
Economic Events: -
GMTEventCurrency
07:00-(Germany) Inflation Rate MoMEUR
07:00-(Germany) Inflation Rate YoYEUR
07:00-(Germany) CPIEUR
07:45-(France) Balance of TradeEUR
08:00-(Spain) Retail Sales MoMEUR
08:00-(Spain) Retail Sales YoYEUR
13:30-(United States) Average Hourly Earnings MoMUSD
13:30-(United States) Nonfarm Payrolls PrivateUSD
13:30-(United States) Non Farm PayrollsUSD
13:30-(United States) Unemployment RateUSD
13:30-(United States) Participation RateUSD
13:30-(United States) Average Hourly Earnings YoYUSD
15:00-(Euro Area) ECB President Lagarde SpeechEUR
19:00-(United States) Monthly Budget StatementUSD

Today's Scenario: - The EUR/USD currency pair is currently stagnant, hovering just below the 1.0600 level, as traders brace for the opening of the European markets. The pair is holding on to slight gains, despite a resurgence in the US Dollar, as market sentiment turns negative due to the looming release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls data and an upcoming speech from European Central Bank Chief, Christine Lagarde.
To elaborate further, the US Dollar has regained some strength, leading to a dip in the value of the Euro. The market mood is also becoming increasingly cautious, with investors wary of the upcoming US employment report, which is expected to have a significant impact on the global financial markets.
Moreover, the ECB Chief's speech has also added to the apprehension, with traders keen to glean any insights into the central bank's monetary policy and its potential impact on the Eurozone economy.

Buy Scenario: - Looking at the opposite scenario, if there is a clear and confident move above the resistance level at 1.0600, it could propel the EUR/USD currency pair towards the high recorded on February 28th at 1.0645. In the event that the price surpasses this level, it may expose the asset to the high recorded on March 1st at 1.0691, still we do not advise to buy EUR/USD currency pair.

Sell Scenario: - The EUR/USD currency pair is encountering downward pressure as it struggles to extend its recovery beyond the supply zone, which is confined between the 1.0577-1.0589 range on an hourly scale. The Euro is also being hindered by the 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0585, which is acting as a resistance level.
At the same time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is finding it challenging to maintain its position in the bullish range of 60.00-80.00. The absence of strength in the RSI (14) could lead to exhaustion in the uptrend, which may result in a reversal of the current trend.
If the EUR/USD currency pair breaks below the low of March 1st at 1.0565, it may decline further towards the low of March 8th at 1.0524. If the price slips below this level, it may drag the asset even further towards the psychological support level at 1.0500. Till then we do not advise selling EUR/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 1.0580-R1 1.0645
S2 1.0557-R2 1.0687
S3 1.0515-R3 1.0710

Discussion

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