Daily Analysis For EUR/USD  09-03-2023

Daily Analysis For EUR/USD 09-03-2023

EUR/USD Analysis
EUR/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for EUR/USD
Economic Events: -
GMTEventCurrency
06:30-(France) Private Non Farm Payrolls QoQEUR
06:30-(France) Non Farm Payrolls QoQEUR
07:00-(Lithuania) PPI YoYEUR
07:00-(Lithuania) PPI MoMEUR
10:00-(Malta) Industrial Production YoYEUR
12:30-(United States) Challenger Job CutsUSD
13:30-(United States) Jobless Claims 4-week AverageUSD
13:30-(United States) Continuing Jobless ClaimsUSD
13:30-(United States) Initial Jobless ClaimsUSD
15:00-(United States) Fed Barr SpeechUSD
15:40-(United States) EIA Natural Gas Stocks ChangeUSD
16:30-(United States) 8-Week Bill AuctionUSD
16:30-(United States) 4-Week Bill AuctionUSD
18:00-(United States) 30-Year Bond AuctionUSD

Today's Scenario: - During the early trading session on Thursday, the EUR/USD pair appeared to be stagnating around the 1.0550 level, despite a rebound from the previous day's lowest point since January 2023. The mixed technical signals are posing a challenge for traders, as they attempt to navigate the sluggish market conditions.

Buy Scenario: - To strengthen the confidence of the EUR/USD buyers, it is crucial for the currency pair to achieve a daily closing above the prior support level, which dates back to December 7, 2022, and currently stands at approximately 1.0570 at the time of writing.
However, even if this level is surpassed, there are additional obstacles that the currency pair may encounter on its path towards the north, including the weekly high of approximately 1.0700, as well as the mid-February peak that is situated around 1.0800.
In spite of the possibility of a corrective bounce in the short term, the overall outlook for EUR/USD remains bearish, still we do not advise to buy EUR/USD currency pair.

Sell Scenario: - The Euro pair reached a new low for the past two months, but then experienced a rebound after hitting a low of 1.0524. Despite this, the quote ended the day's trading with only minor changes from the opening levels, leading to the formation of a Doji candlestick pattern. This pattern indicates a possible corrective bounce in the EUR/USD price.
It is worth noting that the Doji candlestick formed just above the 100-day moving average (DMA), giving hope to EUR/USD buyers, especially given the sluggish MACD and RSI signals.
If the Euro pair breaks through the immediate support level of the 100-DMA, which is currently around 1.0525, bears may face some obstacles ahead. This is due to the lows marked in January and early December 2022, respectively near 1.0480 and 1.0440. Additionally, the 200-DMA support level of 1.0325 is acting as a further downside filter. Till then we do not advise selling EUR/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S2 1.0580-R2 1.0645
S3 1.0557-R3 1.0687
S1 1.0515-R1 1.0710

Discussion

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