Daily Analysis For EUR/USD  08-03-2023

Daily Analysis For EUR/USD 08-03-2023

EUR/USD Analysis
EUR/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for EUR/USD
Economic Events: -
GMTEventCurrency
07:00-(Germany) Retail Sales MoMEUR
07:00-(Germany) Retail Sales YoYEUR
07:00-(Germany) Industrial Production MoMEUR
09:00-(Italy) Retail Sales YoYEUR
09:00-(Italy) Retail Sales MoMEUR
10:00-(Euro Area) GDP Growth Rate QoQEUR
10:00-(Euro Area) GDP Growth Rate YoYEUR
10:00-(Euro Area) Employment Change QoQEUR
10:00-(Euro Area) Employment Change YoYEUR
10:00-(Euro Area) ECB President Lagarde SpeechEUR
11:00-(Spain) Consumer ConfidenceEUR
12:00-(United States) MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateUSD
13:15-(United States) ADP Employment ChangeUSD
13:30-(United States) ExportsUSD
13:30-(United States) ImportsUSD
13:30-(United States) Balance of TradeUSD
15:00-(United States) JOLTs Job OpeningsUSD
15:00-(United States) Fed Chair Powell TestimonyUSD
15:30-(United States) EIA Crude Oil Stocks ChangeUSD
15:30-(United States) EIA Gasoline Stocks ChangeUSD

Today's Scenario: - The EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading at around 1.0525, marking a two-month low as it continues its downward trend from the previous day. This decline is primarily due to the significant yield curve inversion, which has not been seen since 1981. As a result, the Euro has experienced a considerable drop, with the most significant decline in over a month, following the hawkish statements made by the Federal Reserve's Chairman, Jerome Powell.
Powell's remarks have fueled concerns about a possible increase in interest rates, which has negatively impacted the Euro's value against the US dollar. This decline is expected to continue unless there is a change in the current market sentiment.

Buy Scenario: - If the EUR/USD currency pair manages to stay above the level of 1.0614 for an extended period, it will indicate the emergence of buyers who are trying to counter the current trend. This could potentially lead to a significant increase in the currency pair's value during the later trading session, with the possibility of it surging towards two crucial levels situated at 1.0614 and 1.0661, which represent 50% of the recent decline, still we do not advise to buy EUR/USD currency pair.

Sell Scenario: - For the EUR/USD bears to target January's low of approximately 1.0480, a daily close below the two-month-old ascending support line is required. This support line currently represents an immediate obstacle for the currency pair, situated around the 1.0540 level. If the EUR/USD manages to close below this support line, it would indicate a strong bearish sentiment, potentially leading to a significant decline towards January's low. Till then we do not advise selling EUR/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S2 1.0580-R2 1.0645
S3 1.0557-R3 1.0687
S1 1.0515-R1 1.0710

Discussion

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