Daily Analysis For EUR/USD  05-04-2023

Daily Analysis For EUR/USD 05-04-2023

EUR/USD Analysis
EUR/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for EUR/USD
Economic Events: -
GMTEventImpactCurrency
00:00(Australia) Ai Group Industry IndexMediumAUD
00:00(Australia) Judo Bank Services PMIHighAUD
00:00(Australia) Judo Bank Composite PMILowAUD
00:00(Australia) Ai Group Construction IndexLowAUD
00:00(Australia) Ai Group Manufacturing IndexLowAUD
01:00(China) Qingming FestivalNoneCNY
01:01(Ireland) AIB Services PMILowEUR
01:30(Japan) Jibun Bank Services PMIMediumJPY
01:30(Japan) Jibun Bank Composite PMILowJPY
02:30(Australia) RBA Chart PackLowAUD
03:00(New Zealand) RBNZ Interest Rate DecisionMediumNZD
03:30(Australia) RBA Gov Lowe SpeechHighAUD
07:00(Germany) Factory Orders MoMMediumEUR
07:45(France) Industrial Production MoMMediumEUR
08:00(Spain) Industrial Production YoYLowEUR
08:15(Spain) S&P Global Composite PMILowEUR
08:15(Spain) S&P Global Services PMIHighEUR
08:45(Italy) S&P Global Services PMIHighEUR
08:45(Italy) S&P Global Composite PMILowEUR
08:50(France) S&P Global Services PMIMediumEUR
08:50(France) S&P Global Composite PMILowEUR
08:55(Germany) S&P Global Services PMIHighEUR
08:55(Germany) S&P Global Composite PMILowEUR
09:00(Germany) New Car Registrations YoYLowEUR
09:00(Euro Area) S&P Global Composite PMILowEUR
09:00(Euro Area) S&P Global Services PMIHighEUR
09:00(United Kingdom) New Car Sales YoYLowGBP
09:30(United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMIHighGBP
09:30(United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMILowGBP
10:00(France) New Car Registrations YoYLowEUR
10:00(Italy) Retail Sales YoYHighEUR
10:00(Italy) Retail Sales MoMHighEUR
10:00(Cyprus) Construction Output YoYLowEUR
10:00(Cyprus) Current AccountLowEUR
10:30(Germany) 7-Year Bund AuctionLowEUR
11:00(Luxembourg) Inflation Rate YoYLowEUR
11:00(Luxembourg) Inflation Rate MoMLowEUR
11:00(Spain) Consumer ConfidenceMediumEUR
11:00(Ireland) Unemployment RateLowEUR
11:10(European Union) 6-Month Bill AuctionLowEUR
11:10(European Union) 3-Month Bill AuctionLowEUR
12:00(United States) MBA 30-Year Mortgage RateMediumUSD
12:00(United States) MBA Mortgage ApplicationsLowUSD
12:00(United States) MBA Mortgage Market IndexLowUSD
12:00(United States) MBA Mortgage Refinance IndexLowUSD
12:00(United States) MBA Purchase IndexLowUSD
13:15(United States) ADP Employment ChangeHighUSD
13:30(Canada) ImportsLowCAD
13:30(Canada) ExportsLowCAD
13:30(Canada) Balance of TradeHighCAD
13:30(United States) ExportsMediumUSD
13:30(United States) ImportsMediumUSD
13:30(United States) Balance of TradeHighUSD
14:45(United States) S&P Global Composite PMIMediumUSD
14:45(United States) S&P Global Services PMIHighUSD
15:00(United States) ISM Non-Manufacturing Business ActivityLowUSD
15:00(United States) ISM Non-Manufacturing PricesLowUSD
15:00(United States) ISM Non-Manufacturing New OrdersLowUSD
15:00(United States) ISM Non-Manufacturing EmploymentMediumUSD
15:00(United States) ISM Non-Manufacturing PMIHighUSD
15:00(Euro Area) ECB Lane SpeechLowEUR
15:30(United States) EIA Refinery Crude Runs ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Crude Oil Stocks ChangeMediumUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Heating Oil Stocks ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Gasoline Production ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Distillate Stocks ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Crude Oil Imports ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Gasoline Stocks ChangeMediumUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks ChangeLowUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Distillate Fuel Production ChangeLowUSD
16:30(United States) 17-Week Bill AuctionLowUSD
17:00(Canada) 10-Year Bond AuctionLowCAD

Today's Scenario: - During early Wednesday in Europe, the EUR/USD pair continues to show a mild bullish sentiment, hovering around 1.0960-65. This movement is in line with the three-day upward trend that the pair has been exhibiting lately. The recent positive outlook for growth in Germany and the Eurozone justifies the Euro's strength against the US dollar.

Buy Scenario: - The EUR/USD pair is exhibiting strong upward momentum while the RSI is plateauing near the 70 level. As long as the support level at 1.0920 holds, the pair is likely to continue moving higher, with potential for fresh highs. Once the pair clears the resistance level at 1.0970, the next significant obstacle is at 1.1000/05, followed by the February high at approximately 1.1035, still we do not advise to buy EUR/USD currency pair.

Sell Scenario: - On the other hand, The EUR/USD pair appears to be heading towards testing the 1.1000 level, as long as it maintains its position above the support level at 1.0920. On the daily chart, the Euro is showing a strong position well above crucial moving averages, with RSI and Momentum indicators pointing upwards. The bullish outlook would only change if the pair dips below the 1.0800 level. Till then we do not advise selling EUR/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 1.0900-R1 1.0990
S2 1.0846-R2 1.1027
S3 1.0809-R3 1.1081

Discussion

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