Daily Analysis For AUD/USD  18-05-2023

Daily Analysis For AUD/USD 18-05-2023

AUD/USD Analysis
AUD/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for AUD/USD
Economic Events : -
GMTEventImpactCurrency
00:50(Japan) Foreign Bond InvestmentLowJPY
00:50(Japan) Stock Investment by ForeignersLowJPY
00:50(Japan) Imports YoYLowJPY
00:50(Japan) Exports YoYMediumJPY
00:50(Japan) Balance of TradeHighJPY
01:00(Austria) Ascension DayNoneEUR
01:00(Belgium) Ascension DayNoneEUR
01:00(Euro Area) Ascension DayNoneEUR
01:00(Finland) Ascension DayNoneEUR
01:00(France) Ascension DayNoneEUR
01:00(Germany) Ascension DayNoneEUR
01:00(Luxembourg) Ascension DayNoneEUR
01:00(Netherlands) Ascension DayNoneEUR
01:00(Switzerland) Ascension DayNoneCHF
02:30(Australia) Part Time Employment ChgMediumAUD
02:30(Australia) Participation RateLowAUD
02:30(Australia) Full Time Employment ChgMediumAUD
02:30(Australia) Unemployment RateHighAUD
02:30(Australia) Employment ChangeHighAUD
04:00(East Timor) Inflation Rate YoYLowUSD
04:00(East Timor) Inflation Rate MoMLowUSD
04:35(Japan) 52-Week Bill AuctionLowJPY
07:30(Euro Area) ECB Guindos SpeechHighEUR
09:00(Spain) Balance of TradeMediumEUR
09:40(Spain) Obligacion AuctionLowEUR
09:40(Spain) 5-Year Bonos AuctionLowEUR
10:00(Euro Area) ECB President Lagarde SpeechMediumEUR
11:00(Portugal) PPI MoMLowEUR
11:00(Portugal) PPI YoYLowEUR
11:00(Slovakia) Unemployment RateLowEUR
11:30(Portugal) Private Consumption YoYLowEUR
11:30(Portugal) Economic Activity YoYLowEUR
13:30(United States) Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing IndexMediumUSD
13:30(United States) Philly Fed Business ConditionsLowUSD
13:30(United States) Philly Fed CAPEX IndexLowUSD
13:30(United States) Philly Fed EmploymentLowUSD
13:30(United States) Philly Fed New OrdersLowUSD
13:30(United States) Philly Fed Prices PaidLowUSD
13:30(United States) Initial Jobless ClaimsHighUSD
13:30(United States) Jobless Claims 4-week AverageHighUSD
13:30(United States) Continuing Jobless ClaimsHighUSD
13:30(Canada) New Housing Price Index YoYMediumCAD
13:30(Canada) New Housing Price Index MoMMediumCAD
14:05(United States) Fed Jefferson SpeechMediumUSD
14:30(United States) Fed Barr TestimonyMediumUSD
15:00(United States) Existing Home Sales MoMHighUSD
15:00(United States) Existing Home SalesHighUSD
15:00(United States) CB Leading Index MoMLowUSD
15:00(United States) Fed Logan SpeechMediumUSD
15:30(United States) EIA Natural Gas Stocks ChangeLowUSD
16:30(United States) 8-Week Bill AuctionLowUSD
16:30(United States) 4-Week Bill AuctionLowUSD
18:00(United States) 10-Year TIPS AuctionLowUSD
20:00(El Salvador) Balance of TradeLowUSD
23:45(New Zealand) Balance of TradeMediumNZD
23:45(New Zealand) ExportsLowNZD
23:45(New Zealand) ImportsLowNZD

Today's Scenario: - During the early hours of Thursday's trading session in Asia, the AUD/USD pair is exhibiting the usual pre-data anxiety around 0.6660, following a significant rebound from a two-week low. The pair initially experienced a decline on Wednesday due to mixed market sentiment and disappointing economic data from Australia.
However, improved sentiment in the market later enabled the risk-sensitive AUD/USD pair to recover ahead of the release of important Australian data.

Buy Scenario: - To target the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at 0.6679 and Wednesday's high of 0.6273, the NZD/USD pair needs to surpass the pivot point at 0.6654. A bullish session would be indicated by a return to $0.6250.
However, for a breakout to occur, positive news regarding the US debt ceiling and the annual budget is necessary.
In the event of a breakout, the Kiwi could potentially test the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at 0.6698 and face resistance around $0.63. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) is situated at 0.6723. Till we do not advise to buy AUD/USD.

Sell Scenario: - Failure to move beyond the pivot point would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at 0.6635 into focus. However, unless there is a risk-off sentiment prompting a sell-off, the NZD/USD pair is expected to stay above the sub-$0.62 level. Downside movement should be limited by the Second Major Support Level (S2) at 0.6610.
The Third Major Support Level (S3) is located at 0.6590. Till we do not advise to sell AUD/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 0.6635-R1 0.6679
S2 0.6610-R2 0.6698
S3 0.6590-R3 0.6723

Discussion

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