Daily Analysis For AUD/USD  04-04-2023

Daily Analysis For AUD/USD 04-04-2023

AUD/USD Analysis
AUD/USD
Economic Events and Scenario for AUD/USD
Economic Events : -
GMTEventImpactCurrency
04:35(Japan) 10-Year JGB AuctionLowJPY
05:30(Australia) RBA Interest Rate DecisionHighAUD
07:00(Germany) Imports MoM s.aLowEUR
07:00(Germany) Exports MoM s.aLowEUR
07:00(Germany) Balance of Trade s.aLowEUR
08:00(Spain) Unemployment ChangeHighEUR
09:00(Euro Area) ECB Consumer Expectations SurveyMediumEUR
09:30(Slovenia) Balance of TradeLowEUR
10:00(Euro Area) PPI MoMLowEUR
10:00(Euro Area) PPI YoYLowEUR
10:00(France) New Car Registrations YoYLowEUR
10:00(Cyprus) Current AccountLowEUR
10:30(Germany) Index-Linked Bund AuctionLowEUR
10:30(United States) LMI Logistics Managers Index CurrentLowUSD
10:30(Germany) 30-Year Bund/€i AuctionLowEUR
11:30(Portugal) Budget BalanceLowEUR
13:30(Canada) Building Permits MoMLowCAD
13:55(United States) Redbook YoYLowUSD
15:00(United States) JOLTs Job QuitsLowUSD
15:00(United States) JOLTs Job OpeningsHighUSD
15:00(United States) Factory Orders ex TransportationLowUSD
15:00(United States) Factory Orders MoMMediumUSD
15:00(United States) IBD/TIPP Economic OptimismMediumUSD
15:30(United Kingdom) BoE Pill SpeechMediumGBP
16:00(New Zealand) Global Dairy Trade Price IndexLowNZD
17:00(Belgium) New Car Registrations YoYLowEUR
17:30(United Kingdom) BoE Financial Policy Summary and RecordMediumGBP
18:30(United States) Fed Cook SpeechMediumUSD
21:30(United States) API Crude Oil Stock ChangeMediumUSD
23:45(United States) Fed Mester SpeechMediumUSD

Today's Scenario: - The AUD/USD currency pair is currently declining towards the level of 0.6750, following the announcement of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to maintain the current interest rate. The RBA's pessimistic view of the Australian economy is pressuring the Australian dollar, while the US Dollar is attempting to recover amid a cautious market sentiment.

Buy Scenario: - During early Tuesday, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6780-85, reflecting the pre-RBA anxiety as the mixed concerns about the RBA's Interest Rate Decision challenge the bullish sentiment, despite a clear upside break of the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
Although the bullish MACD signals and firmer RSI (14) line add strength to the upside bias, a convergence of the 200-day EMA and an upward-sloping resistance line from mid-March, around 0.6820, is posing a tough challenge for the AUD/USD buyers. If they manage to surpass this, then the 0.6900 and 0.7000 round figures may act as intermediate halts during the likely run-up targeting the mid-February swing high of around 0.7030. Till we do not advise to buy AUD/USD.

Sell Scenario: - In case of a pullback, the 100-day EMA level of 0.6770 needs to be breached to convince short-term AUD/USD sellers. If the pair bears gain control, then 0.6720 and the previous day's low around 0.6650 may provide support before the Year-To-Date low of 0.6564 comes into focus. Till we do not advise to sell AUD/USD.

Support and Resistance Level: -
SupportResistance
S1 0.6694-R1 0.6833
S2 0.6603-R2 0.6881
S3 0.6555-R3 0.6972

Discussion

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